Prediction market frontends still lack great UX solutions. Here's why I'm skeptical about the common aggregation approach: combining diverse bets across different prediction categories doesn't scale well in practice. Compare that to perps and spot trading—aggregating those markets works because they're fundamentally tracking the same underlying asset. With prediction markets, you're dealing with entirely separate outcome categories, different time horizons, and varied liquidity profiles. It's more complex than just pooling order flow. The core challenge is that prediction markets need categorical thinking, not just price aggregation. Each market has unique mechanics, risk parameters, and user bases. Trying to force them into a unified frontend creates friction rather than convenience.
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AirdropHunter9000
· 18h ago
To be honest, the idea of a prediction market aggregator sounds good, but it’s a mess to use.
Wait, why do I feel like there’s something wrong with this logic? Perpetuals and Spot can be aggregated because they target the same underlying asset, but each prediction market is different... doesn’t that mean a hard aggregation is completely unfeasible?
Prediction market frontends still lack great UX solutions. Here's why I'm skeptical about the common aggregation approach: combining diverse bets across different prediction categories doesn't scale well in practice. Compare that to perps and spot trading—aggregating those markets works because they're fundamentally tracking the same underlying asset. With prediction markets, you're dealing with entirely separate outcome categories, different time horizons, and varied liquidity profiles. It's more complex than just pooling order flow. The core challenge is that prediction markets need categorical thinking, not just price aggregation. Each market has unique mechanics, risk parameters, and user bases. Trying to force them into a unified frontend creates friction rather than convenience.