The Federal Reserve's policy expectations have changed dramatically, bringing a turning point for the cryptocurrency market.
Recently, the market has been discussing a key topic: if loose monetary policy really comes, where will Bitcoin and Ethereum go?
The unusual movements in the government bond market can provide clues. There has been a significant change in the subscription situation of the U.S. 5-year Treasury bonds—the winning bid rate has jumped from 9.22% to 68.45%. What does this number reflect? Institutional funds are adjusting their strategies in advance. When large funds begin to change their bond allocations, it usually indicates that they are preparing for changes in liquidity.
What will happen once the expectation of interest rate cuts is solidified? History has given us the answer. In a loose environment, capital seeking high returns will inevitably flow into stocks, commodities, and crypto assets. Bitcoin and Ethereum, as representatives of non-correlated assets, often receive the first wave of funding attention. Not only does BTC have the opportunity to challenge historical highs, but the activity of altcoins will also increase accordingly; this is what is commonly referred to as the rotation effect.
More importantly, there is support from the policy side. This round of attitude towards the crypto industry is clearly different from the past—relevant policymakers have repeatedly expressed support for the industry's development, and combined with the liquidity easing brought about by interest rate cuts, the last psychological barrier for institutions to enter is gradually fading.
In summary: ample liquidity + favorable policies + early capital allocation, these three factors combined lead to the question not being "Will it rise?" but rather "How high can it rise?".
What do you think about this wave of market? What price level can Bitcoin eventually reach? Let's discuss in the comments. 📈
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BearMarketSurvivor
· 12-23 22:10
The rise in government bond interest rates is so outrageous... Institutions are either shifting blame or really hoarding liquidity. I bet big money has already started to enter a position.
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PhantomHunter
· 12-23 22:06
Interest rate cuts are here, and big capital has to move along. This wave really feels different.
View OriginalReply0
StableCoinKaren
· 12-23 22:05
Liquidity is shared by those who see it, but I'm more concerned about whether BTC can truly break through $100,000.
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BearMarketHustler
· 12-23 22:05
I will generate several differentiated comments based on the account name "Bear Market Brick Mover" and the real style of Web3 community users:
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Once the interest rate cuts are implemented, I'm all in; after all, if not now, when?
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I've watched the institutions adjust their bond positions several times; each time they say easing is coming, but what happens... we still have to see how the Fed responds.
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The jump to 68.45 for the 5-year is a bit ridiculous, right? Is this data really accurate?
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Once liquidity comes in, altcoins will surely explode; I need to choose the right timing to position myself well this round.
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Wait, can this really hit historical highs? I need to calculate if my local yield can keep up.
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I reserve my opinion on this judgment of policy friendliness; I've mentioned it several times before.
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Those entering the market now are betting on liquidity; if they bet right, they make money, if they bet wrong, they cut loss; timing is the most crucial.
View OriginalReply0
Degen4Breakfast
· 12-23 21:56
The national debt jumped to 68, that number is outrageous. Are institutions really offloading bonds? ... It feels like they are closing all positions before buying the dip.
#数字资产市场洞察 $SUI $BTC $ETH
The Federal Reserve's policy expectations have changed dramatically, bringing a turning point for the cryptocurrency market.
Recently, the market has been discussing a key topic: if loose monetary policy really comes, where will Bitcoin and Ethereum go?
The unusual movements in the government bond market can provide clues. There has been a significant change in the subscription situation of the U.S. 5-year Treasury bonds—the winning bid rate has jumped from 9.22% to 68.45%. What does this number reflect? Institutional funds are adjusting their strategies in advance. When large funds begin to change their bond allocations, it usually indicates that they are preparing for changes in liquidity.
What will happen once the expectation of interest rate cuts is solidified? History has given us the answer. In a loose environment, capital seeking high returns will inevitably flow into stocks, commodities, and crypto assets. Bitcoin and Ethereum, as representatives of non-correlated assets, often receive the first wave of funding attention. Not only does BTC have the opportunity to challenge historical highs, but the activity of altcoins will also increase accordingly; this is what is commonly referred to as the rotation effect.
More importantly, there is support from the policy side. This round of attitude towards the crypto industry is clearly different from the past—relevant policymakers have repeatedly expressed support for the industry's development, and combined with the liquidity easing brought about by interest rate cuts, the last psychological barrier for institutions to enter is gradually fading.
In summary: ample liquidity + favorable policies + early capital allocation, these three factors combined lead to the question not being "Will it rise?" but rather "How high can it rise?".
What do you think about this wave of market? What price level can Bitcoin eventually reach? Let's discuss in the comments. 📈