Gold continues to hit new record highs: Is the golden opportunity in 2025-2026 still not over?

$4,000 per ounce is the backdrop, with the next target reaching up to $4,900

If you haven’t entered the gold market yet, don’t lose hope, because leading analysts see that the golden opportunity remains wide open. This article reveals how “money gods” worldwide think about gold prices in the next one to two years.

Gold soars continuously: From forecast to reality

By the end of 2025, XAUUSD gold prices broke through the dreams of many investors. On October 20, the price surged to a historic level of $4,181 per ounce. Even more astonishing is the speed: it took only 7 months to jump from $3,000 to $4,000, doubling the pace it took to go from $2,000 to $3,000.

In Thailand, 96.5% gold bars need not worry, as prices follow the global trend, surpassing the target of 62,000 baht per gold baht.

Big Bet: Gold will rise even more — more than you think

Goldman Sachs makes a big move, targeting $4,900

The renowned Wall Street financial institution is not satisfied. They have raised their year-end 2026 target from $4,300 to $4,900. The main reason: central banks worldwide are buying heavily, and funds are flowing into gold ETFs nonstop. Analyst Lina Thomas affirms that demand for gold from central creditors has increased beyond expectations, raising the 2025 year-end target to $3,300.

UBS from Switzerland also won’t give up

This giant bank observes the massive accumulation of gold by central creditors, over 1,200 tons in a single year (for three consecutive years). The nature of this phenomenon: avoiding the expanding dollar, causing gold to grow accordingly.

The golden opportunity heats up due to 4 major forces

1. The trade war ignites the gold fire

The US-China tension erupts again with news that Donald Trump will impose a 100% tariff on China starting November 1. Investors worldwide panic and rush to safe havens, buying gold.

2. The US has cut interest rates

The Fed cut rates in September by 0.25%. Markets expect further cuts. The dollar weakens, and gold becomes the go-to asset for foreign investors because gold prices typically move inversely to real interest rates.

3. Central creditors accumulate gold heavily

1,200 tons per year is normal. The “de-dollarization” wave expanded after the 2022 incident where Russian central creditors’ assets were frozen.

4. BRICS plans a new currency

News reports that BRICS is preparing to launch a digital currency “First Dollar Tether” backed by gold. This is a serious attack on the US dollar.

Beware: Warning signs that could break the gold rally

Although gold has an upward trend, market fluctuations are natural.

If the US-China negotiations succeed → Tensions ease → Safe-haven demand drops → Gold could fall immediately.

Prolonged high interest rates → Inflation remains sticky → The Fed must keep rates steady → Gold becomes harder to rise.

Strong dollar → US economy is robust → Dollar returns to strength → Gold prices face resistance.

Heavy profit-taking after 8 weeks of continuous rise → Investors can’t resist → Gold may correct downward to settle positions.

What do technical tools reveal?

Price Surge (Price skyrockets)

Gold jumps over $250 in “just a few days,” indicating: intense buying pressure is at work → The trend remains strong.

RSI (Overbought zone)

RSI moves into overbought territory but hasn’t fallen yet → Signaling that, although prices are high, upward momentum isn’t exhausted.

Candlestick Patterns

Shooting Star pattern appears → May indicate a short-term correction, but the larger trend remains bullish.

3 ways to time the gold market now with confidence

Method 1: Buy on dips (Buy the Dip)

Gold rises quickly → Need to pause. Buy when it pulls back.

• Wait for the price to drop to $3,859 (key support)
• Confirm RSI approaches 50 or MACD reverses
• Cut losses below $3,750
• Take profit at $4,100+

Method 2: Retest Breakout (Test the breakout level)

When gold breaks through a key resistance ($4,000), it often retests the level, presenting a new buying opportunity.

• Wait for a retest at $3,980–$4,000
• Confirm the price rebounds with increased volume
• Enter buy, set stop-loss at $3,950
• Target $4,100

Method 3: Fibonacci Retracement (Draw three lines)

Use Fibonacci ratios to find universal support levels.

• Draw from $3,500 to $4,059
• Identify 38.2% and 61.8% levels
• Buy near these levels with good signals
• Set stop-loss below the next Fibonacci level

Final strategy: Gold remains a game, not luck

Forecast for gold in 2025-2026: The trend still points upward. Goldman Sachs targets $4,900. For Thai gold prices, this suggests that 75,000–80,000 baht per gold baht may not be far off.

But gold is not an asset to trust blindly. It’s subject to intense fluctuations, influenced by many factors.

In summary: The golden opportunity still exists. The big upward trend continues, but timing is crucial. Don’t rush to buy impulsively. Keep a cool head, wait for signs of a correction, and then carefully seize the moment.