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Why do you work hard to trade cryptocurrencies but still can't beat the market? Get a quick understanding of Alpha and Beta returns.
I don’t know if you’ve noticed, but many people seem to have been working hard in the B circle for a long time
All the opportunities for sudden wealth are circling around it, scheming and calculating until they finally realize
It’s better to hold Bitcoin
Not only that, do you know?
According to years of data from SPIVA
Over a 10-year period, 85%-95% of active funds in the US underperform the market
Such results are hard to accept
Does努力 really have no use?
Why do most people not make money?
Actually, no, behind it is science, a complete set of economic theories
This set of economic principles can be traced back to the 1960s
When the Nobel-winning Capital Asset Pricing Model was introduced
In this model, economists first proposed the concept of beta
Later, another economist named Michael introduced the concept of Alpha
Since then, Alpha + Beta has become the theoretical foundation of traditional finance
Regarded as a treasure trove of wealth by various industry giants
With the development of cryptocurrency
Today, we can still see new crypto stars like MultiCoin or Pantera
They all coincidentally adopt this investment strategy
Okay, first let’s talk about what Alpha and Beta are
This concept we learned in our first year of economics
It’s actually a basic concept covered in textbooks
Simply put, in academic terms:
Alpha is earned, beta is given
That is, the returns from Alpha are your earned money
The returns from Beta are the money given by the sky
In other words, Beta is the appreciation value of a certain asset you hold
For example, holding the S&P 500, gold, Bitcoin
Holding steady, doing nothing, and earning money
The higher the Beta multiple, the better the asset you’ve chosen
For example, holding Bitcoin for steady gains
You earn more Beta than holding the S&P 500
Now, let’s talk about Alpha
Alpha is the result of active betting
It’s what you earn by leveraging your advantages
It’s even easier to understand in terms of Bitcoin
Whether Bitcoin rises to 100,000 or 1 million
The Alpha return is to make your Bitcoin holdings grow more and more
At this point, everyone might start thinking
How can I achieve Alpha + Beta returns?
Look at my tell me
How exactly can I get excess returns?
As we mentioned at the beginning, over 90% of fund managers
Fail to generate positive Alpha
Only about 10% of people make money
And it’s this 10% who take away the vast majority of excess returns
So where exactly is this 10% of the gains?
I don’t know about other industries
But in the crypto industry, we found the answer by following the shadow of big players
We organized it into this table
It might look a bit secretive
But don’t worry, I’ll explain in a moment
After looking at this table, let’s look at this chart
In this chart, I’ve grouped assets with typical Alpha + Beta returns in the B circle
I’ve drawn a diagram for everyone
The horizontal axis is Beta value
The further right, the higher the Beta
We can see that Bitcoin’s Beta
Definitely higher than the S&P 500, right?
What about the vertical axis?
It’s the return rate
This gray line is a benchmark of risk-free interest rate
The blue section is the CARM line
This line indicates the most reasonable market expected return at different Beta values
Each point represents a strategy type
Let’s take a look along the blue line
First, notice where the blue line intersects with the gray line
The position on the horizontal axis is Beta zero
The interest rate on the left is 0.04%
This point is familiar—U.S. Treasury bonds
Or the risk-free rate
Where is the Alpha part?
It’s when this point is above the blue line
Proving it has positive Alpha
It outperforms Beta and the market
Gaining more coins as the price rises
If this point exactly falls on the blue line
It’s a pure Beta return
Meaning you just hold B steady
And if it’s below the blue line, it means you didn’t beat Beta
With this panoramic view, let’s look at some examples
To get a feel for how to earn excess profit, Alpha
First, the first type
Type one is POS staking
This is a feature unique to the B circle
Other industries don’t have this
Simply put, the principle used here
Is that blockchain is essentially a decentralized database
Who does the bookkeeping for this database?
And what do the bookkeepers get in return?
Here, there’s a solution called
Proof of Stake (POS)
Using locked coins to obtain the right to record transactions
The more B you lock, and the longer you lock it
The more the system trusts you
And is willing to give you the right to record
Your system rewards you for bookkeeping
For example,
If you want to become a validator node on the Ethereum network
What do you do?
First, prepare 32 ETH
And a computer that runs 24/7
Of course, a good broadband connection
Once ready,
Start running an Ethereum client
Like Prysm Lighthouse
And you’ll earn rewards from the system
If you experience power outages or go offline
You might face slashing
Getting your ETH slashed or penalized
Sounds a bit complicated, right?
But the B circle has some staking platforms
That handle a lot of the behind-the-scenes work
Users just need to give their B tokens to these platforms
And these platforms help with staking
For example, look at Solana staking
All exchanges have on-chain staking functions
Everyone’s yields are quite similar
The rewards you get are usually in their chain’s B tokens
For example, Ethereum rewards are in ETH
Meaning your ETH amount increases
You earn Alpha
And you haven’t sold your ETH
You can still profit as Ethereum profits
Your Beta remains intact
So this is a classic Alpha + Beta model
This model applies to all POS chains
I’ve summarized the staking yields of major chains on various platforms
Guess what?
I found a very interesting situation
I won’t reveal the answer yet
Guess which chain’s yield is the highest
Actually, it’s beyond my expectations
The highest yield surprisingly belongs to the Tron chain
After this research, I have to say
Brother Sun really knows how to make money
After analyzing, I found
Tron’s staking yield is high
The reason isn’t just high income
Everyone knows its income is high
After all, now everyone transfers U tokens via Tron chain
Ethereum and Solana have on-chain gas fees of only about 1 million per day
This income is a big drop compared to Tron’s
And Tron’s income curve is very steady
Growing steadily and reaching new heights
With the background of the stable law passing,
This trend could continue for several more years
Although its income is indeed good
But high income isn’t the main reason for its high staking yield
Research shows
Tron’s staking is different from other POS staking
It’s more like a system of collateralizing resources and renting them out for profit
Briefly explained,
In the Tron network,
When users stake their TRX tokens,
They can obtain two things
Not directly Tron coins,
But
One called bandwidth
And one called energy
Bandwidth is used for sending regular transactions
Energy is used for executing smart contracts on their chain
For example, transferring U tokens
Or DeFi operations
So we see,
Energy is the most economically valuable resource
All smart contract operations consume energy
Therefore, Tron’s energy is very valuable
There’s a platform called Tronify
Where you can stake Tron tokens to earn energy
And the system will automatically sell the energy you earn
And that’s how the income is generated
Besides, apart from single POS staking,
There’s also re-staking
What is re-staking?
Simply put,
During POS staking,
Your assets are locked up
Meaning your funds are in the bank, locked
But this doesn’t affect your status as a wealthy person
You hold a deposit certificate from the bank
And you can still stake or borrow money
The third part is liquidity mining
This is actually about creating LP pools in decentralized exchanges
Providing liquidity for on-chain trading pairs
This method can also earn some Beta
But the risks are not low
And creating LP pools for mining
This method isn’t the most typical Alpha + Beta
The most typical are Bitcoin or Dogecoin mining under POW mechanisms
Bitcoin mining is a very representative
Beta + Alpha composite model
Let’s understand briefly
Bitcoin mining is basically using machines similar to computers to produce Bitcoin
Visit Bitmain’s official website
You can see all kinds of machines
Plug these machines in, power on,
Connect to the internet and mining pools
And you can start producing Bitcoin
How does this business make money?
By one word: slow
Or two words: long-term
Once a machine is online,
It needs to run for at least 4 years
Only then will the hardware break or be phased out
So it’s a very long-term endeavor
So how does it beat Beta and earn Alpha?
For example,
On Bitmain’s official site, there’s a model called S21 Pro
The listed price is 16U
No futures, no spot
Where’s the spot?
Datarun has spot stock
The spot cost is about 19.2U per T
The full machine costs about $4,480
The electricity cost over 4 years
Is about $5.9 per day
Over a year, over $2,000
Over 4 years, over $8,000
Adding up the machine and electricity over 4 years,
Total investment is about $13,000
Now, if we use $13,000 to buy Bitcoin,
At the current price of $120,000,
We can only buy about 0.109 BTC
But according to data from Bitmain,
This machine can mine about 0.1675 BTC in 4 years
Even with custodians like Data Run,
After deducting 10% management fee,
You still get about 0.15 BTC
This amount is 38% more than just buying coins directly
This extra part
Is basically the mining outperforming Beta and the market
That’s the Alpha earnings from mining
And all miners know,
Electricity costs are paid gradually
Not paid all at once
So the capital cost is much lower
It can be understood as a installment plan to buy coins
With higher capital utilization
So look,
On the surface, it’s a business
But behind it, it’s all logic
If you’re not making money,
It might be because you fell for a lack of knowledge
So we see that Bitcoin mining
Is one of the few business models in the B circle
That still stands firm today
Many companies have achieved great results through mining
In fact,
Most publicly listed companies in North America’s B circle
Are involved in mining
Even wealthy B circle tycoons
If you ask around,
Most come from mining backgrounds
Currently, the profit in Bitcoin mining
Has decreased due to Bitcoin’s automatic halving mechanism
It’s hard to imagine
How much Alpha the early miners from 10 years ago could have earned
Having summarized these methods of earning Alpha,
Let’s look at this chart again
To briefly summarize,
If you want good returns,
First, look to the right for Beta
The higher the Beta, the higher the steady gains from holding and doing nothing
But the risk also increases accordingly
After all, higher returns always come with higher risks
Those with strong risk management skills
Can boldly move further to the right
But please, move to the left
Once Beta is confirmed,
You can look upward
To find Alpha
The more Alpha you have,
The longer you stay in the upper right corner
The higher your excess returns
As the crypto industry’s compliance further develops,
More assets will enter the blockchain network
And more Alpha + Beta strategies will be combined
We need to incorporate this theoretical framework
Into our radar
Activate our radar to scan this industry
To find real opportunities to earn Alpha
The Stablecoin Big Genius Act has already passed
Followed by the Clear Law Act
Each time a law passes,
It creates a window for Alpha returns
With online cognition and bold information,
We are among the 10% who gain wealth **$COMMON **$MON