This afternoon, international gold experienced a classic V-shaped movement. After reaching a low of 4303 in the early trading session, the market showed a clear rebound. By the afternoon, prices steadily oscillated upward, ultimately reaching around 4387. From the lowest point of the day, the increase exceeded 80 points.
However, the logic behind this rebound needs to be clarified. The US dollar continues to strengthen, US bond yields are rising steadily, and market expectations for a Fed rate cut are clearly cooling down. Additionally, risk asset sentiment has improved during this period, which naturally reduces the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset. In simple terms, this afternoon's rebound is just a technical correction after an oversold condition and does not signal a trend reversal.
When the price reached 4387, it encountered resistance, and trading volume shrank accordingly. The sharp decline candlestick in the early session already broke the previous short-term consolidation pattern. From the current formation, the bearish trend in the evening is quite clear.
From a trading perspective, opportunities to short can be considered within the range of 4400 to 4510, with stop-loss set above 4520 to avoid false breakouts. If the bearish trend proceeds smoothly, the first target can be around 4360, with further support levels at 4350.
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faded_wojak.eth
· 11h ago
It's the same old trick of technical fixes; every time they say that, but in the end, they just get proven wrong. When the dollar is strong, gold ends up like this—truly boring.
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SandwichTrader
· 12-30 13:39
It's just another technical fix; I think it's just the big players shaking out the weak.
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VCsSuckMyLiquidity
· 12-30 12:56
It's the usual technical fix again. Basically, when it rebounds, it has to crash. With the dollar so strong, do I still dare to chase gold?
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ThatsNotARugPull
· 12-30 12:50
Technical fix is just a fix; don't be fooled by the rebound. The bears will take it away in one wave.
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PessimisticLayer
· 12-30 12:50
Another false rebound, gold can't hold up under the strong dollar
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Technical correction? I think it's just a trap to catch people, 4387 hits and then turns around
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The bearish trend is clear, this time I don't believe in the rebound
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U.S. Treasury yields are rising, does gold still want to turn around? Dream on
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4360 is the real exit point, that previous wave was all in vain
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Even with shrinking volume, they keep talking about a rebound, it's really unbelievable
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When risk assets recover, gold has to cool down, this logic makes sense
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The dollar is aggressive here, safe-haven assets can only stand aside
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A sharp drop at the opening directly broke the pattern, let's pretend we didn't see the afternoon rebound
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The expectation of rate cuts is gone, what story is left for gold to tell?
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Stop-loss at 4520 sounds dangerous, false breakouts are just scams to cheat money
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I accept this bearish wave, the trend is too clear to avoid
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AirDropMissed
· 12-30 12:42
Technical fix is just a fix; don't be fooled by the rebound. Isn't it obvious that the bearish signal is clear?
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NFTArchaeologis
· 12-30 12:38
Technical fixes, huh? Sounds nice... but it's actually just a false rebound. I've seen too many rebounds after such oversold conditions, like a false boom in the antique market—seems lively on the surface but no one is willing to take the bait. The dollar's strength is so obvious, and the safe-haven aura of gold has long faded. The bearish pattern is hard to reverse.
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BetterLuckyThanSmart
· 12-30 12:34
Technical fix is just a technical fix, stop making up stories about it... If the short is clear, I'll just watch. If 4400 can't be broken, I'll withdraw.
This afternoon, international gold experienced a classic V-shaped movement. After reaching a low of 4303 in the early trading session, the market showed a clear rebound. By the afternoon, prices steadily oscillated upward, ultimately reaching around 4387. From the lowest point of the day, the increase exceeded 80 points.
However, the logic behind this rebound needs to be clarified. The US dollar continues to strengthen, US bond yields are rising steadily, and market expectations for a Fed rate cut are clearly cooling down. Additionally, risk asset sentiment has improved during this period, which naturally reduces the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset. In simple terms, this afternoon's rebound is just a technical correction after an oversold condition and does not signal a trend reversal.
When the price reached 4387, it encountered resistance, and trading volume shrank accordingly. The sharp decline candlestick in the early session already broke the previous short-term consolidation pattern. From the current formation, the bearish trend in the evening is quite clear.
From a trading perspective, opportunities to short can be considered within the range of 4400 to 4510, with stop-loss set above 4520 to avoid false breakouts. If the bearish trend proceeds smoothly, the first target can be around 4360, with further support levels at 4350.