2025-12-30 12:28:19

Silver has recently experienced a rapid surge—following an almost parabolic upward trajectory, it has reached a price level where significant corrections have frequently occurred in the past.

Although the opening on Monday saw a nearly 10% plunge, despite this pullback, the silver price remains over 70% above the 200-day moving average. To put it another way, the 200-day moving average is approximately at $42.12 per 31.1 grams, while the current price has already far exceeded this level.

Some analysts have pointed out an interesting pattern: when the premium of precious metal prices over the 200-day moving average reaches 60%, a significant decline usually follows within the next 20, 30, or even 40 days. This pattern has occurred multiple times in history.

Of course, there are exceptions—such as the 1979 "Hunt Brothers short squeeze" that broke this curse and became a special case in market history. The current question is whether silver will once again be an exception or follow historical patterns to undergo a correction, which traders should closely monitor.

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DegenTherapist

· 13h ago

Silver's recent surge is incredible; a 60% premium would normally collapse historically, but who knows haha A 10% plunge isn't a big deal, it's still well above the moving average, so it's hard to judge The short squeeze in 1979 was truly outrageous. Will it repeat? The gambler's mentality is kicking in This price feels like it's already been overextended, but maybe we just don't understand it It's a bit risky, better to reduce positions first to insure against potential losses

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CryptoMom

· 19h ago

Silver's recent surge is too fierce, feeling full of warning signs, just waiting to cut the leeks Is it going to plunge again? How come this pattern is so accurate... Hunter Brothers' incident was too special; there are no such opportunities nowadays 70% premium is really outrageous; it will come back sooner or later A direct 10% plunge on Monday, I knew there was no good news Can silver break the curse this time? I bet it can't In front of historical patterns, everyone has to bow their heads Watching it rise happily, but actually preparing to be trapped The 200-day moving average is so far away? Time to cut losses, everyone Parabolic trends always end in a trap, learn to be smarter

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ConsensusDissenter

· 2025-12-30 12:54

The parabolic rise is a bit false, and the 70% premium figure is so dangerous This wave of silver is really jumping on a tightrope, and it feels like it will either completely break the rules or get a wave of ruthlessness It's been 45 years since 1979, and now you still want to rely on that exception to make a comeback? The difficulty is not ordinary The closer the historical law is, the hotter it gets, so I'll wait and see Monday's diving of 10% is scary like this, and it will be more exciting later The 200-day moving average is 70% different, and it is either to break through or to pull back, it depends on how to die Silver dances on the edge of the casino, either winning big or losing to the end This premium level has been a turning point in previous years, and probability science tells me not to be greedy The end of the parabola is usually not good

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RektRecorder

· 2025-12-30 12:49

Silver's recent surge is indeed outrageous, but I still bet it will fall. The historical patterns are right there. Wait, did the Hunt brothers really break through that time? It feels like the current market is completely different now. A 70% premium... Hey, that's a bit scary. I need to cut my losses. Time to look at the 20-day pattern again. Do old patterns still work these days? Silver is going crazy. I was stunned when it plunged on Monday. Is this a reversal? Parabolic rise = next is a crash. I've seen this routine too many times. A 60% premium line, it feels like we're about to dance around this level. Is anyone betting that this time will be an exception, or am I the only gambler? Is history repeating itself or is it eerily similar? Which way will silver choose?

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ResearchChadButBroke

· 2025-12-30 12:38

The recent surge in silver is outrageous; I bet it will fall. 200-day moving average premium at 70%? This pace has never been good historically, just wait and see. Talking about the story of 1979 again, really enough... this time, it's probably still an adjustment. The more it rises sharply, the harder it falls. I'm already prepared. A 10% plunge is just the appetizer; the real correction is still to come. Surely no one is still buying the dip? I don't have the guts for that. In the face of historical规律, silver is hard to be an exception.

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