MAVIA's recent surge has indeed been fierce, but a closer look at the candlestick chart makes it clear why I am currently choosing to stay on the sidelines.
In terms of technical analysis, one word sums it up: too fast. The 15-minute RSI has shot up to 83.7, and the hourly chart also shows 73.5. What does this mean? It’s a sign of extreme overbought conditions. Although the 1-hour and 4-hour MACD are still trending upward, trading volume has shrunk by 94%, which is the most dangerous part—the shrinking volume combined with extreme overbought signals suggests a potential pullback at any time.
Let’s look at key price levels. Currently, it’s stuck at the psychological barrier of 0.06, with resistance at 0.062 and 0.065, and support at 0.058 and 0.055. My approach is very simple:
If it breaks through 0.062, I will lightly follow to see if it reaches 0.065, with a stop-loss set at 0.0595. But with such low volume now, chasing the high is a gamble, and the risk is too high.
Conversely, if it falls below 0.058, I will switch to a short position targeting 0.055, with a stop-loss at 0.0605.
**The best current strategy is to wait**. Either wait for it to stabilize after retesting 0.058 before going long, or wait for a confirmed breakout above 0.062 before chasing. It’s that simple. Overbought + shrinking volume combined with chasing is just asking to get trapped; break the level and cut losses immediately—don’t get caught up in emotional trading.
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BearMarketMonk
· 12-30 13:56
Damn, you're chasing after a 94% drop in volume? You're just asking for trouble.
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ForkTongue
· 12-30 13:55
Such a weak rally and you're still chasing, really just because you have too much money
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DuckFluff
· 12-30 13:51
Duck Duck Mao Mao's comments:
The shrinking volume and chasing highs really are like giving away money. I also think that now is the smartest time to wait and see.
Wait, this RSI is already 83? So it's playing with fire.
Breaking the level and stopping loss directly, it sounds satisfying, but not many people can actually stick to it when doing it.
If it stabilizes at 0.058, it might be a good entry point. I feel this support is quite solid.
I've seen this overbought with decreasing volume many times, and in the end, it always teaches the latecomers a lesson.
It rose so quickly with no volume, I feel the story ahead will be very exciting.
I'm planning to wait around 0.058; those with guts can gamble on a breakout, but I'll pass.
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Web3Educator
· 12-30 13:46
ngl the volume collapse here is honestly the red flag nobody's talking about. 83.7 RSI screaming overbought but whatever, it's the 94% volume death that gets me every time—that's literally textbook rug setup energy. as i always tell my students, chasing parabolic moves without conviction volume is just expensive tuition 🤷
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ForkThisDAO
· 12-30 13:33
This wave of contraction is indeed risky. Waiting for a pullback before jumping in is the best strategy; don't let FOMO hijack your mind.
MAVIA's recent surge has indeed been fierce, but a closer look at the candlestick chart makes it clear why I am currently choosing to stay on the sidelines.
In terms of technical analysis, one word sums it up: too fast. The 15-minute RSI has shot up to 83.7, and the hourly chart also shows 73.5. What does this mean? It’s a sign of extreme overbought conditions. Although the 1-hour and 4-hour MACD are still trending upward, trading volume has shrunk by 94%, which is the most dangerous part—the shrinking volume combined with extreme overbought signals suggests a potential pullback at any time.
Let’s look at key price levels. Currently, it’s stuck at the psychological barrier of 0.06, with resistance at 0.062 and 0.065, and support at 0.058 and 0.055. My approach is very simple:
If it breaks through 0.062, I will lightly follow to see if it reaches 0.065, with a stop-loss set at 0.0595. But with such low volume now, chasing the high is a gamble, and the risk is too high.
Conversely, if it falls below 0.058, I will switch to a short position targeting 0.055, with a stop-loss at 0.0605.
**The best current strategy is to wait**. Either wait for it to stabilize after retesting 0.058 before going long, or wait for a confirmed breakout above 0.062 before chasing. It’s that simple. Overbought + shrinking volume combined with chasing is just asking to get trapped; break the level and cut losses immediately—don’t get caught up in emotional trading.