2025-12-30 15:10:25

#大户持仓变化 Bitcoin Market Analysis Part 1 | The Hidden Battle Between Bulls and Bears in the Range

Everyone, currently Bitcoin is stuck in the corridor between $88,000 and $92,000, oscillating back and forth. The overall market atmosphere is like the eerie calm before a storm, with everyone waiting for a signal.

From a candlestick perspective, the price is firmly held below $91,627, repeatedly tugging within this $8,000 range. In simple terms, bulls and bears are engaged in a "positional battle" — above $92,000 is the bears' defensive line, below $88,000 is the bulls' bottom line. The side that can't hold will determine the next move from that point.

Interestingly, there are movements in the capital side. Large investors have opened long positions of about 300 BTC near $87,965, but with tight stop-losses, indicating that institutions are optimistic about a rebound but remain cautious about risks. On the other hand, Ethereum's situation is more notable — validator net inflows have turned positive for the first time in six months, suggesting long-term confidence among holders is gradually warming, and staking demand is increasing.

From a broader perspective, Japan's Metaplanet, a listed company, increased its Bitcoin holdings by 4,279 BTC in Q4, now holding over 35,000 BTC in total. The trend of corporate accumulation over the past few years has not stopped, which is an interesting bottom signal. However, short-term constraints remain — Bitcoin's movement is currently highly correlated with Nasdaq futures, and the rise or fall of US stocks directly impacts the volatility of the coin price.

To summarize: Bitcoin is stuck within the range, with bulls and bears in a deadlock. But subtle movements in capital and institutional actions hint at some optimistic signs. $BTC $ETH

BTC-0,85%

ETH0,36%

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JustAnotherWallet

· 2025-12-31 02:34

88k-92k this range really is quite frustrating; it feels like the big players are all betting on who will collapse first Are the big players tightening stop-losses out of fear or prudence? It's hard to tell Metaplanet is accumulating coins again—do these institutions truly believe in it or are they just putting on a show for us? Whenever Nasdaq sneezes, the crypto market catches a cold—this dependency is a bit excessive Ethereum validators going live is a bright spot; at least some people still have confidence in it

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WhaleWatcher

· 2025-12-30 15:38

Large investors are lurking with 300 BTC at 87965, with stop-losses tightly set. I understand this mentality—bullish but not daring to get too excited. Metaplanet has accumulated over 4,000 more, and this move by the company is definitely hinting at something. However, being too tightly tied to the Nasdaq, when the US stock market coughs, the crypto circle catches a cold. That’s the most annoying part. Just waiting to see who breaks first—92000 or 88000? The resurgence of staking activity is a signal, at least indicating that people are not completely hopeless. I don’t quite believe in this "strange silence"; it feels like a storm is still coming.

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DisillusiionOracle

· 2025-12-30 15:38

Walking around the dead corridor from 88 to 92 again, really annoying What does a large trader tightening stop-loss mean? It actually shows they are uncertain Holding coins in a company sounds great, but us retail investors still have to watch the Nasdaq's mood—that's the real truth

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GateUser-a180694b

· 2025-12-30 15:38

The range between 88 and 92 is really stuck, no one dares to move Major investors are buying around 87965 and setting such tight stop-losses, which shows they are also uncertain Metaplanet is accumulating coins again, is this company really bottom-fishing with this move? Whenever the US stock market sneezes, the crypto market catches a cold; the correlation is just too high The rebound in ETH staking is a good sign, at least some people still believe

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StableBoi

· 2025-12-30 15:22

The 88-92 range is really stuck tight, now it's just a matter of who gives up first. Big players are holding tight, stop-losses are tight too, indicating they are uncertain. Institutions haven't stopped accumulating coins; this wave might truly be different. Getting caught in the temper of the US stock market is a bit frustrating. Wait for a break; whether it breaks up or down will determine everything.

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