2025-12-30 15:20:39

Yesterday, there was a phenomenon in the market that is worth pondering—although there wasn't much of a decline, you could definitely sense a hint of sluggishness in the rally. The trading volume also performed well; the 21.3 trillion level is considered relatively high in recent times. So what’s the problem? It’s that even though the volume has increased, the price simply can't break through this resistance level. This clearly signals that there is pressure here.

To be honest, the current position is a critical point. Critical points are most prone to friction costs—energy is being consumed here. Whether breaking upward or pulling back downward, there needs to be enough trading volume to support it. Therefore, from a market-wide perspective, caution is still necessary. Keep both hands on the wheel and avoid betting on a single direction.

Looking at sector rotation, the divergence is indeed quite obvious. Commercial aerospace, robotics, and computing power are leading the gains, while precious metals, non-ferrous metals, lithium batteries, and consumer sectors are dragging behind. But if you think about it carefully, the daily leaders in gains and losses keep changing. When viewed over a longer time frame, the main themes are actually those—weak sectors remain the same. Since the beginning of the year, the overall pattern hasn't changed much. What does this indicate? Once expectations are formed, they are particularly hard to reverse—unless there is a significant change in fundamentals or the market comes with a wave of sufficiently strong and dense stimuli.

This involves a core investment logic issue: the direction must be firm, but short-term fluctuations should not be allowed to hijack your judgment. The speed of logical change far cannot keep up with the rapid shifts in market sentiment. So the most difficult part is—maintaining focus on a strong logical direction while learning to dismiss the allure of daily strength or weakness. In other words, the three dimensions of logic, trend, and buy/sell points must be viewed separately and not mixed together. Many people's problems stem from this—by the time a wave has played out and the market has fully demonstrated it, they only start to tell stories afterward, resulting in a late realization.

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ChainSherlockGirl

· 2025-12-31 13:40

Trading volume has increased, but the price still can't break through. It's a typical case of big players suppressing the price from above. Based on my analysis, this is a good time for onlookers to watch the show. --- Critical points often bring about plot twists, but I bet five dollars that next week will still be a tug-of-war at this level. So boring. --- The space robot leading the rally this time really hit the right rhythm, while precious metals and consumer stocks are still lying dormant. I expect this to be a curse. --- Separating logic from trend—this is something I need to note down. Too many people operate in the opposite direction and end up getting caught up in the chaos. --- The most heartbreaking part is the "late realization" phrase. By the time I react, the big players have already run away. Who made me react so slowly? --- The 21 trillion yuan trading volume gives me the feeling that someone is exhausting energy. Whether it's to push prices up or to crash down depends on the movements of the big wallets on the chain. --- Don't bet on one direction; it sounds easy but is hard to do. I've never succeeded even once. Keep a clear mind and prepare for both outcomes.

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DuskSurfer

· 2025-12-30 15:50

The volume can't break through the resistance level, which is awkward, and we still have to wait. The most feared thing at a critical point is repeated friction, wasting time and funds. The leading stocks change every day, but the overall pattern hasn't moved at all, which is ridiculous. The logic is clear, but short-term fluctuations confuse most people, a common problem. Don't confuse logic with trend; otherwise, you'll be cut before you react. Once expectations are fixed, it's hard to reverse unless there is enough fundamental stimulation. Volume rises but price doesn't, a typical sign of pressure; caution is the premise of survival. Short-term fluctuations manipulate people's minds, while long-term logic is often ignored. The divergence is so obvious; the pattern hasn't changed since the beginning of the year? It shows how stubborn expectations are. Be prepared for both sides; don't bet on a single direction. That's the way professional traders operate.

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SchrodingerWallet

· 2025-12-30 15:43

Trading volume is up, but the price can't break through. This is testing the ceiling; we need a breakout signal to proceed. The critical point is the most torturous, going up or down requires gambling. I'll stay on the sidelines for now. The surge in aerospace and robotics is quite fierce, but precious metals are dragging behind, and the overall pattern remains dead. Short-term fluctuations are too rapid, and people's psychology can't keep up with the logic. It's better to view separately and not be hostage to the daily chart. I can feel the stagnation; the price is stuck, and the resistance level is quite strong. Having a red heart and being prepared for both sides—you're right, right now it's just a "spectator" position. Separately analyzing logic, trend, and buy/sell points—this is spot on. Many people get trapped because they mix everything together. The most helpless thing is to realize too late; by the time the story is over and the wave has ended, the rhythm is too different. Although trading volume is decent, the price can't get past this hurdle. There's obvious pressure above, so be cautious. Once expectations are set, they are hard to reverse unless there is some major fundamental news; otherwise, it will stay like this.

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BlockchainNewbie

· 2025-12-30 15:42

The volume is deceiving, always the same trick. High trading volume and the price just won't go up, a classic sign of false breakout signals. A bunch of people shouting about the main trend every day, but they're just being played. Expectations really can't be changed. It's correct to analyze logic, trend, and buy/sell points separately, but most people simply can't do it. By the time they realize it, they've already suffered heavy losses. The term "stagnant rise" is very appropriate; it feels like the market is just dragging on here, it's boring. Aerospace, robotics, and computing power are taking turns rising, but who can guarantee they aren't just relay sticks smashing the market down? Having a clear direction and not being short-term hostage is simple to say but really damn hard to do. The critical point is the easiest place to fall into a trap, and this wave is testing the bottom of the accumulation phase. Since the beginning of the year, the pattern hasn't changed, so just wait for the fundamentals to shift. Entering now is really just gambling. Volume-price divergence is the most honest indicator; if there's volume but no price movement, it means the main players are offloading. This time is no exception. Too many people are hostage to short-term fluctuations. Luckily, I’ve learned to demystify it, haha.

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MoneyBurner

· 2025-12-30 15:34

If the trading volume can't break through, isn't this just the big players eating up the liquidity? Let's wait and see. Let the stagnation be, anyway I've already started building positions in computing power and commercial aerospace, betting that these two sectors will turn around this year. Honestly, hindsight is really unavoidable. Last time I chased high in lithium batteries, I was stuck for half a year. At the critical point, you need to be prepared for both sides. I plan to build positions gradually, don't go all in at once. This kind of market tests your resolve the most. Watching the leading stocks change every day makes my heart almost collapse. The main index is indeed under pressure at this level, but only when it breaks through will it be time to make money. Once expectations are formed, they are hard to reverse. This hits home. I've been fooled by expectations so many times. Why can't the volume be high but still can't break through? Clearly, there are opposing orders suppressing it. Continue to observe. Don't get caught up in short-term fluctuations. It's easy to say, but actually doing it is really deadly. Mixing everything together is a disaster. I was right about the trend before, but I got trapped and had to cut losses in the end. I'm optimistic about computing power; I think this is the main line. Other sectors are really holding things back.

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GigaBrainAnon

· 2025-12-30 15:26

When trading volume increases but the price doesn't move, it's testing the bottom line. It's very difficult not to be cautious. Once expectations are formed, they are hard to change. Looking at the pattern from the beginning of the year until now, it was actually predetermined unless there is a particularly strong stimulus. It's correct to analyze logic, trend, and buy/sell points separately, but most people only react after the wave has passed, which is really incredible. The feeling of stagnation has been around for a while; it's just that trading volume can't keep up with price expectations. At this level, you really need to prepare for both possibilities. Commercial aerospace and robotics have been leading, while precious metals have been falling. This is the power of expectations—unbreakable expectations. The critical point is most easily worn down; energy is being consumed here. Whether breaking through or retracing depends on trading volume. Without volume, everything is pointless. Short-term fluctuations can really manipulate sentiment. The hardest part is maintaining resolve without getting trapped, which is easier said than done. I've been fooled by short-term strength and weakness too many times. The logic is clear, but execution still tends to get messy.

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