Recently, the market has been dubbed the "Trader's Trial Ground" over the past two weeks. Some traders are getting deeper into their positions, repeatedly adding to their holdings to catch the bottom; others panic-sell at the bottom; while some remain steadfast, waiting for clear signals to appear. Why such a big difference in behavior in front of the same candlestick chart? Essentially, it’s because of different levels of understanding of the oscillating market.



Having traded for eight years, I’ve summarized three core rules, hoping to help everyone avoid pitfalls.

**Rule 1: Abandon precise divination, make decisions based on probabilities**

Many people enter the market thinking "guess the right direction and get rich overnight," but the truth of a choppy market is that bullish and bearish forces are in a tug-of-war, with no clear unilateral trend. My approach is to open both long and short positions—keep a short position as protection against the final dip, while using small long positions to avoid missing out on upward moves. This way, no matter how the market moves, there is a plan.

Specific implementation: allocate no more than 10% of total capital to a single direction, and use the remaining funds for hedging strategies to balance risk. It sounds conservative, but in a choppy market, the win rate is much higher than heavy concentration in one direction.

**Rule 2: Focus on key levels, don’t get carried away by intraday volatility**

Currently, the range between 88,300 and 89,300 is the main battleground for bulls and bears. The daily closing line will directly influence subsequent trends. Where is the problem? Most people are misled by intraday fluctuations—buying on rebounds in the morning, selling on dips in the afternoon, completely ignoring the role of key support and resistance levels.

Key advice: use the "closing line" to judge the market, and don’t be led astray by minute-level volatility. This is a must-have skill to minimize losses.
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LiquidationWizardvip
· 17h ago
Haha, it's that same hedging theory again. With 8 years of experience, he sounds convincing, but I really want to see his account screenshot.
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PoetryOnChainvip
· 12-30 15:53
Really, these past two weeks I've been tortured by the volatility. I've done too many stupid things like chasing longs in the morning and cutting losses in the afternoon... Now I finally understand what it means to watch the closing line. Before, I was just spinning around being played by intraday fluctuations.
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AirdropF5Brovip
· 12-30 15:52
Eight years of experience are indeed valuable, but I find that most people simply can't follow this set of rules... Knowing that you shouldn't allocate more than 10% is useless if, at critical moments, your mindset still collapses.
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GasFeeBarbecuevip
· 12-30 15:50
That's right, I've also been messed up by intraday fluctuations, especially when a single bearish candle causes my mindset to collapse... Now I gradually understand that staring at the 1-minute chart is just looking for knives to stab.
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PretendingToReadDocsvip
· 12-30 15:48
Opening both long and short positions sounds good, but I'm worried my mindset will collapse again when executing haha
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PumpAnalystvip
· 12-30 15:36
With 8 years of experience, you still need to use hedging strategies to survive, indicating that no one in this industry can predict stably. But the logic really makes sense.
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JustHereForAirdropsvip
· 12-30 15:35
Oh no, it's the same hedging theory again, I'm getting calluses on my ears from hearing it... But indeed, those who don't follow the intraday fluctuations tend to live the longest.
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