2025-12-30 15:23:13

Recently, my private messages are filled with questions like: "Should I go long or wait?" "Will Bitcoin drop below 80,000?" Honestly, these kinds of messages are piling up in my inbox. I need to clarify one thing first—if someone tells you they can predict market movements 100%, they are either a scammer or a newbie who just entered the market.

The recent market has been oscillating repeatedly over the past two weeks. To put it simply, the market hasn't made up its mind yet. In such times, it's not about predicting accurately, but about whether you can respond flexibly. I want to use this analysis to explain the logic of making money during these volatile conditions.

Let's first look at the current contradictions: on one side, the market wants to rebound, and many traders are eager to build long positions for fear of missing out; on the other side, the downside risk hasn't been fully unleashed, and the last wave of decline may still happen, so friends who are shorting are reluctant to close their positions. Because of this, I adopted a strategy that involves both long and short positions—not betting on which way the market will go, but betting that I can handle whatever happens.

A common mistake many people make is treating "prediction" as a religious belief. When the market doesn't move as imagined, they become panicked, operate chaotically, and end up losing everything.

Now, let's get to the practical tips. The key to trading in a volatile market is simple: "Keep an eye on key price levels, and only act when signals are clear." The critical zone right now is between 88,300 and 89,300. How the daily candle closes will directly determine the next direction.

If the daily candle can stay above 88,300, it indicates enough momentum for a rebound. At this point, you can consider closing some short positions and slightly increasing long positions; conversely, if it falls below 88,300, the probability of touching the 80,000 mark increases significantly. You can continue holding short positions, but long positions should be cut decisively to stop losses.

Depending on different trading styles, my recommended strategies will vary—

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CryptoPunster

· 19h ago

I haven't figured out the market either, so let's just hurt each other like this. What sounds good is a long-short strategy; in plain terms, it's a gambler's double insurance—losing together when it goes south. Those who believe in predicting the market as faith, in the end, their faith gets eaten by the market. That 88300 line, I bet five bucks it will either break or not break. It's really incredible; now not knowing what to do has become a kind of advanced move.

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OnlyOnMainnet

· 2025-12-30 15:53

That's right, the most feared are those who confidently claim they can predict accurately, but they are often the ones who get trapped the deepest. Wait until the 88300 level, once broken, it will continue to fall; only when it stabilizes is there hope, it's that simple. Currently, those chasing gains are too impatient; the risk of decline hasn't been fully released yet, and it's easy to lose composure. The long-short hedging strategy is indeed stable, but the returns are also average; still, it's better than liquidation. This consolidation is making me almost fall asleep; when will there be a clear signal?

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SigmaValidator

· 2025-12-30 15:53

Predicting the market again? I'm already tired of this set. To be honest, it's just gambling. Wait, I need to note down the 88,300-89,300 range. It's better than random operations. But speaking of which, both bulls and bears are pressing? Isn't that just "I don't know anything, so I do everything"? Isn't the cost rising straight up? I admire your execution. Really, most people can't hold on until the clear signal moment.

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LiquidatedDreams

· 2025-12-30 15:51

Here comes another "I've got it" moment, really, every time it's like this, and then when liquidation happens, there's no sound anymore. Wait, the key price level is actually okay, that 88300 line definitely needs to be watched closely. That's why I never believe in 100% predictions; the market isn't fortune-telling. Both bulls and bears adopting this mindset isn't bad, at least it prevents being hit from one side. People really love betting on the direction, and the result is frequent cuts. Understanding prediction and actually making money are worlds apart. Making money in a volatile market relies entirely on flexibility; predictions are actually traps. It's this set of theories again... but honestly, it's better than most call signals. The 88300 level is basically a psychological barrier; the key is execution.

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YieldWhisperer

· 2025-12-30 15:42

It's the same set of bullish and bearish talk again. It sounds nice, but in reality, it's just playing both sides to your advantage. This wave of volatility is indeed annoying, but I think just watching the price levels isn't enough; you need to keep a steady mindset first. Is 88300 really that critical? It feels like there's always a new "life or death line" every time. The phrase "predicting becomes a religion" really hit me; so many people lose money this way. But honestly, being flexible in response sounds easy, but in practice, you still have to suffer some losses before you get the hang of it.

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ForkTrooper

· 2025-12-30 15:42

Bro, this set of theories sounds smooth, but actual trading still depends on luck. I watch the 88300 level every day, but in the end, a single nighttime candlestick wiped me out. The psychological price of 80,000 is too addictive. It feels like big players are just waiting to harvest this wave of panic selling. Being bullish and bearish at the same time sounds great, but I don't have that much capital. Still, I have to place bets, brother. Predicting that religion will become a belief haha, this summary is spot on. Everyone around me is like this kind of leek. No matter how nice the words are, they can't change the fact that a volatile market is just harvesting those who hesitate.

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