After years of navigating the trading market, you can feel an interesting contrast: those who ultimately succeed are not necessarily the ones who make the most money the fastest.
The ones who can truly persist are precisely those willing to extend their time horizon and understand the market in the simplest and most straightforward way.
There is an old trader in the crypto circle who has been in the game for 8 years. Post-90s, originally from Fujian, now rooted in Guangzhou. No insider information, no shortcuts found, and it’s not that luck has been particularly on his side. The only advantage is that he hasn’t been wiped out by the market.
Looking at the updates over these years — during bull markets, all communities are lively, but when a bear market arrives, many accounts never appear again. Most people can’t predict the market, which is not surprising. The real reason some can stay is never about judgment ability, but whether they can see through the flow of funds and control their restless hearts.
Based on nearly 3000 trading days of exploration, six rules have been repeatedly validated:
**A quick rise followed by a gentle decline is often not a warning sign** — This is usually the main force shaking out and changing hands, not a true trend reversal. A moderate pullback after a rapid surge often scares beginners the most.
**Conversely, a slow rebound after a flash crash is also often not an opportunity** — This kind of rebound is more about market sentiment self-healing, not a real reversal. Don’t be fooled by illusions like “it’s already fallen so much.”
**High trading volume at a top doesn’t necessarily mean danger** — On the contrary, it indicates that both bulls and bears are still fighting, and the game continues. What truly warrants caution is a sudden eerie silence at a high level.
**A single volume-increasing bullish candle has appeared many times and then fallen back** — Bottoms are forged, not achieved in one go. Only when high volume continues to appear does it mean real funds are building positions.
**K-line patterns reflect what has actually happened, while volume explains why it happened** — To understand the market, you need to look at both.
**Having the courage to hold no position is itself a skill** — Not chasing rallies is restraint; not buying in panic is confidence. When you truly let go of your obsession with the market, trading will start to serve you instead.
One increasingly profound realization over the years is: the market’s reward system is very interesting — it never looks at who is the smartest, only at who survives the longest.
The pitfalls you’ve stepped into and the detours you’ve taken have become nourishment. Everyone can choose whether to experience fewer setbacks; the power to decide is always in your hands.
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ZKSherlock
· 9h ago
actually... volume patterns aren't some magical predictor, they're just information flow made visible. most people still get this backwards
Reply0
DAOplomacy
· 2025-12-30 15:53
honestly, the whole "survival of the boredom" angle here... governance primitives in crypto really do mirror this, no? longest holders aren't the ones with best alpha, they're just the ones who didn't rage-quit mid-bear. historically speaking that tracks.
Reply0
RektDetective
· 2025-12-30 15:50
Living longer truly outperforms all technical analysis
View OriginalReply0
SolidityJester
· 2025-12-30 15:49
Well said, longevity is the key.
View OriginalReply0
DegenGambler
· 2025-12-30 15:46
It's really heartbreaking; living longer is truly more valuable than being smart.
View OriginalReply0
RetroHodler91
· 2025-12-30 15:42
Honestly, the saying "the one who lives longer is the winner" hits too close to home. I've lost so many accounts around me that I can't even count.
View OriginalReply0
ClassicDumpster
· 2025-12-30 15:40
The one who lives the longest wins, I don't want to say more.
After years of navigating the trading market, you can feel an interesting contrast: those who ultimately succeed are not necessarily the ones who make the most money the fastest.
The ones who can truly persist are precisely those willing to extend their time horizon and understand the market in the simplest and most straightforward way.
There is an old trader in the crypto circle who has been in the game for 8 years. Post-90s, originally from Fujian, now rooted in Guangzhou. No insider information, no shortcuts found, and it’s not that luck has been particularly on his side. The only advantage is that he hasn’t been wiped out by the market.
Looking at the updates over these years — during bull markets, all communities are lively, but when a bear market arrives, many accounts never appear again. Most people can’t predict the market, which is not surprising. The real reason some can stay is never about judgment ability, but whether they can see through the flow of funds and control their restless hearts.
Based on nearly 3000 trading days of exploration, six rules have been repeatedly validated:
**A quick rise followed by a gentle decline is often not a warning sign** — This is usually the main force shaking out and changing hands, not a true trend reversal. A moderate pullback after a rapid surge often scares beginners the most.
**Conversely, a slow rebound after a flash crash is also often not an opportunity** — This kind of rebound is more about market sentiment self-healing, not a real reversal. Don’t be fooled by illusions like “it’s already fallen so much.”
**High trading volume at a top doesn’t necessarily mean danger** — On the contrary, it indicates that both bulls and bears are still fighting, and the game continues. What truly warrants caution is a sudden eerie silence at a high level.
**A single volume-increasing bullish candle has appeared many times and then fallen back** — Bottoms are forged, not achieved in one go. Only when high volume continues to appear does it mean real funds are building positions.
**K-line patterns reflect what has actually happened, while volume explains why it happened** — To understand the market, you need to look at both.
**Having the courage to hold no position is itself a skill** — Not chasing rallies is restraint; not buying in panic is confidence. When you truly let go of your obsession with the market, trading will start to serve you instead.
One increasingly profound realization over the years is: the market’s reward system is very interesting — it never looks at who is the smartest, only at who survives the longest.
The pitfalls you’ve stepped into and the detours you’ve taken have become nourishment. Everyone can choose whether to experience fewer setbacks; the power to decide is always in your hands.