2025-12-30 15:25:07

Gold has been continuously above the 200-day moving average for 550 days, the second-longest record since records began, and it has been 16 years since such a market condition last occurred. Even more noteworthy is that this rally has achieved a 135% increase in a shorter period than previous cycles.

Looking at history makes it clear. From 1978 to 1980, gold held strong for 495 days, rising by 209% in total, before Volcker sharply raised interest rates to 20%. From 1986 to 1988, during a 510-day cycle, it increased by 38%, followed by Black Monday. The most intense rally was from 2009 to 2011, lasting 750 days with a 91% increase, nearly overwhelming the Eurozone.

Currently: 550 days, 135% increase. The pattern is obvious—every such glorious period is followed by a correction. The market never allows easy profits for too long.

Even more interestingly, the latest survey shows that 73% of people believe the dominance of the US dollar will decline within the next five years. This is not just casual talk; they are betting with real money. These preparations and expectations are quietly changing asset allocation decisions. The wheel of history is turning, and what this cycle will bring is worth watching.

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GateUser-44a00d6c

· 8h ago

550 days 135%... This wave of gold really can't hold up anymore History repeats itself so often, this time we can't escape either

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OvertimeSquid

· 2025-12-30 15:55

It's been 550 days, time to crash the market, right? --- Such a clear pattern in history, no one can really escape it. --- 73% of people are betting on the dollar to fall? Fine, they'll be caught off guard when it happens. --- Here we go again, if it rises, it must fall; the market never spares the greedy. --- Even my grandfather has heard stories about Volcker's wave, this time the players have changed but the game rules haven't. --- A 135% increase in a shorter time? The faster the celebration, the more devastating the damage behind it. --- Changing asset allocation is fine, I’ll stick to my old approach anyway.

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notSatoshi1971

· 2025-12-30 15:54

The 550 days are almost up for liquidation; history really does repeat itself.

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BagHolderTillRetire

· 2025-12-30 15:47

Could this also be the night before the harvest?

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DeFiVeteran

· 2025-12-30 15:42

It's been 550 days. Is this time really different... --- This cycle of history, every time they say a liquidation will happen, but what’s the result? --- 73% of people are betting on the US dollar recession, so what are the remaining 27% thinking? --- The Volcker shock is still ongoing; why not come this time? --- The more gold rises sharply, the more I dare not buy, really. --- Asset allocation has been quietly shifting for a while, but retail investors haven't realized it yet. --- 550 days, 135%... It feels like these data are telling a story, but the ending is too obvious. --- It's the same "obvious pattern" argument again, but who can accurately time the market? --- The US dollar's decline sounds tempting, but how long will it really take to materialize? --- Every time they say the market won't let people earn easily for long, but some still get rich.

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On-ChainDiver

· 2025-12-30 15:37

History tends to repeat itself. Is this time going to be another round of cutting leeks...

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