Looking at Bitcoin's recent trend, many people are starting to say "the market is cooling off." But from a different perspective, this wave of correction might actually mark the beginning of the industry transitioning from hype to genuine maturity.
According to the latest market report analysis from Cantor Fitzgerald, the crypto market is indeed in a cyclical adjustment phase. In the short term, Bitcoin's price is under pressure and may continue to test lower levels in the coming months, possibly even testing the key support line at $75,000 (which is the average holding cost of a major institution). Does that sound a bit pessimistic?
But the key difference lies here—the logic behind this decline is completely different. When a bear market used to arrive, retail investors would flock to exit, causing a stampede-like drop. Now? Institutional investors are gradually accumulating, and market pricing power is quietly shifting. While prices are subdued, the industry’s fundamentals are being solidified behind the scenes.
Look at these data points to understand better:
**The explosion of RWA (Real World Assets)** has more than doubled this year, reaching $18.5 billion. Analysts generally predict it will surpass $50 billion by 2026. Bringing traditional assets like real estate, bonds, and art onto the blockchain isn’t virtual hype; it’s a real transfer of value.
**On-chain prediction market activity** for applications like sports betting and political forecasts has surged to around $5.9 billion in trading volume. Major exchanges and compliant platforms are entering the space one after another, indicating this track is moving from the fringe to the mainstream.
**Decentralized exchanges (DEXs) quietly eating into centralized exchange market share**—this might be the most interesting part. While overall market trading volume is declining, decentralized perpetual contracts, lending, and other services are growing against the trend. Users are voting with their feet, reflecting a demand for self-managed assets and transparency.
Additionally, policy developments like the US CLARITY Act indicate that regulatory frameworks are gradually improving. These are not bubbles that appeared overnight but are the result of the ecosystem’s real-world application.
So the question now isn’t whether Bitcoin will continue to fall, but what you choose to do at this turning point. Will you hold and wait for a rebound, or proactively position yourself in these quietly emerging new tracks? Both paths have their logic; it all depends on your judgment.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
21 Likes
Reward
21
7
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
DefiEngineerJack
· 20h ago
well, *actually* the RWA thesis here is empirically questionable... 185B is still pocket change compared to traditional finance's market cap. show me the formal verification on those 2026 projections or it's just hopium with citations™
Reply0
AlphaWhisperer
· 22h ago
Institutions are accumulating, retail investors are taking losses—that's the current game rule.
RWA is really taking off, but I still think the DEX sector has more potential.
75,000 is it support or a joke? Let's see the true story in a few months.
It sounds impressive, but the ones who truly make money are always a minority.
This recent correction is basically a shakeout; only projects that survive are truly valuable.
View OriginalReply0
GamefiEscapeArtist
· 2025-12-30 15:52
It sounds reasonable, but how many people are really brave enough to buy the dip?
RWA doubling is indeed attractive, but I'm worried it might be the next concept bubble.
Institutions accumulating... well, retail investors are really just the ones holding the bag.
I believe in the DEX counter-trend growth. The demand for self-managed assets is real, and centralized exchanges should indeed be worried.
Can the 75,000 line hold? It's a bit uncertain.
Instead of worrying about whether Bitcoin will fall or not, it's better to see which will rise first—RWA or the prediction market.
Honestly, patience is still needed. This round of adjustment might just be a shakeout.
View OriginalReply0
TokenStorm
· 2025-12-30 15:46
Is the 75k support line really stable? I’m trading with 3x leverage [dog head]
---
Institutions are eating up the chips, while we retail investors are still arguing whether it’s cooling down or not. Laugh out loud
---
RWA doubling to 18.5 billion? On-chain data shows liquidity is actually very poor. Don’t be fooled by the hype
---
I’ve seen through the DEX eating into CEX for a long time. The question is, when will the storm hit?
---
Instead of obsessing over Bitcoin, why not analyze those project tokens that predict the market? The potential arbitrage space is bigger
---
Honestly, this article is well written, but I trust the flow of on-chain wallet addresses more. I don’t trust words
---
Can 75k really hold? I backtested the 72-hour K-line, and liquidation orders are piling up at this level. It’s dangerous
---
Wait, will the CLARITY Act really pass? Or will it be another game played by American politicians’ faces?
---
Institutions are making moves. Why do I feel like they’re setting us up?
View OriginalReply0
DegenTherapist
· 2025-12-30 15:41
Institutions are taking over while retail investors are fleeing. This time, I really feel it's different.
I'm quite optimistic about the RWA doubling. Truly asset-backed on-chain is definitely more reliable than just speculating on concepts.
However, if the 75,000 level breaks, I’ll have to consider bottom fishing. The timing is right.
The gradual erosion of CEX by DEX has been evident for a while. Transparency is indeed gaining acceptance.
Anyway, there are only two paths. No matter which one you choose, you need to do your homework.
View OriginalReply0
MEVHunterNoLoss
· 2025-12-30 15:41
Speaking of which, this perspective is really good. I've been expecting RWA to double for a long time. The wave of traditional assets going on-chain is truly different.
Institutions are gradually taking over, retail investors are fleeing, which is actually a good sign... When Bitcoin drops to 75,000, I actually want to buy more.
The real selling point is the counter-trend growth in DEXs. Who doesn't want transparency? The old CEX model should be replaced.
Wait, which new tracks are you referring to specifically? RWA and prediction markets are both on board, or are we missing something?
This wave of adjustment is really just a shakeout. The previous group of trend followers should leave now.
That logic is brilliant. I didn't expect the transfer of institutional pricing power... It feels like this bear market is completely different from previous ones.
But on the other hand, can 75,000 really hold? It still feels like it might drop further.
View OriginalReply0
FundingMartyr
· 2025-12-30 15:39
Reasonable and well-founded, the fact that institutions are quietly positioning at the bottom is indeed worth pondering
---
RWA doubling to 18.5 billion, this is the real industry shift, not just air coins
---
Exactly, the counter-trend growth of DEX is a signal, users are voting with their feet
---
75,000 is the support line? Then I’ll wait, or just go all-in on RWA
---
I agree that the regulatory framework is being improved, but the real application deployment still needs to wait a bit longer
---
Institutions are truly taking on positions, but retail investors are still getting slaughtered, that’s the difference in pattern
---
On-chain prediction markets with 5.9 billion in trading volume, traditional finance entering the scene, this track is indeed breaking out of the circle
---
Instead of worrying whether Bitcoin will drop to 75k, it’s better to research the opportunities in new tracks in advance
---
The question is, can these new tracks really last long? Or is it just another round of harvesting
---
In a bear market, what you see is a solid ecosystem, this perspective is indeed different, gotta admit
---
RWA, DEX, prediction markets, it feels like the real next stage
Looking at Bitcoin's recent trend, many people are starting to say "the market is cooling off." But from a different perspective, this wave of correction might actually mark the beginning of the industry transitioning from hype to genuine maturity.
According to the latest market report analysis from Cantor Fitzgerald, the crypto market is indeed in a cyclical adjustment phase. In the short term, Bitcoin's price is under pressure and may continue to test lower levels in the coming months, possibly even testing the key support line at $75,000 (which is the average holding cost of a major institution). Does that sound a bit pessimistic?
But the key difference lies here—the logic behind this decline is completely different. When a bear market used to arrive, retail investors would flock to exit, causing a stampede-like drop. Now? Institutional investors are gradually accumulating, and market pricing power is quietly shifting. While prices are subdued, the industry’s fundamentals are being solidified behind the scenes.
Look at these data points to understand better:
**The explosion of RWA (Real World Assets)** has more than doubled this year, reaching $18.5 billion. Analysts generally predict it will surpass $50 billion by 2026. Bringing traditional assets like real estate, bonds, and art onto the blockchain isn’t virtual hype; it’s a real transfer of value.
**On-chain prediction market activity** for applications like sports betting and political forecasts has surged to around $5.9 billion in trading volume. Major exchanges and compliant platforms are entering the space one after another, indicating this track is moving from the fringe to the mainstream.
**Decentralized exchanges (DEXs) quietly eating into centralized exchange market share**—this might be the most interesting part. While overall market trading volume is declining, decentralized perpetual contracts, lending, and other services are growing against the trend. Users are voting with their feet, reflecting a demand for self-managed assets and transparency.
Additionally, policy developments like the US CLARITY Act indicate that regulatory frameworks are gradually improving. These are not bubbles that appeared overnight but are the result of the ecosystem’s real-world application.
So the question now isn’t whether Bitcoin will continue to fall, but what you choose to do at this turning point. Will you hold and wait for a rebound, or proactively position yourself in these quietly emerging new tracks? Both paths have their logic; it all depends on your judgment.