2025-12-30 15:28:21

Take a look at BTC's recent technical performance. On the weekly chart, the RSI has been oscillating in the oversold zone for three consecutive weeks. Interestingly, the price has not made new lows. This situation is called a bullish divergence. Historically, similar patterns have a roughly 60% chance of rebounding more than 15% within the next 8 weeks. However, the signal still needs volume confirmation, so we need to see if trading volume can gradually increase, while continuing to monitor fundamental developments.

On the daily chart, the price is still repeatedly testing the bottom of a range, and no clear breakout direction has formed yet.

On the 4-hour chart, the situation is a bit interesting. The EMA30 is stuck around 87,838, creating resistance, and the 7-day moving average has already started to turn downward. The MACD has formed a death cross below the zero line, but the histogram is shrinking, and the RSI is approaching the oversold area—these signals collectively suggest that the short-term downward momentum may be slowing down.

BTC1,38%

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GateUser-40edb63b

· 15h ago

Bottom divergence is indeed interesting, but honestly, a 60% probability is still a bit uncertain; it depends on whether the volume supports it. Is the short-term downward momentum slowing down? Not necessarily, the death cross has already appeared, so we need to keep observing. I'm a bit skeptical about the weekly signal; historical probabilities are always hindsight, so the key still lies in the fundamentals.

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MoonlightGamer

· 15h ago

Bottom divergence is said to have a 60% probability, sounds pretty impressive haha, but the key is whether the volume can support it or not, otherwise it's all just on paper.

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PonziWhisperer

· 2025-12-30 15:54

The thing about bearish divergence is heard about 60% of the time, but I'm worried that the 40% will hit us.

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AirdropFreedom

· 2025-12-30 15:37

Bullish divergence with a 60% chance of rebound? Sounds good, but if the volume doesn't cooperate, we’ll have to see if it's just another false alarm.

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LiquidationTherapist

· 2025-12-30 15:30

I'm convinced about the bearish divergence, but I'm just worried that the trading volume will let us down again. We need to wait for the volume to confirm.

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