Since Maduro's arrest, natural gas futures have been trading for only 15 minutes, and natural gas prices have fallen by 6%. Additionally, oil prices have dropped below $57 per barrel, approaching the lowest levels since 2021. In almost all cases of escalating geopolitical tensions with oil-producing countries, energy prices usually rise. Why is this time different? Because U.S. control over Venezuela will bring more oil and natural gas supplies to the market. The market knows that the events happening this weekend will ultimately lead to a positive outcome of supply disruption. The market never errs.

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