XRP Breaks 90-Day Resistance: Is the Recovery Just Beginning?

After months of downward pressure, XRP finally penetrated a key 90-day resistance trendline established in October 2025. Multiple analysts are now weighing in on what this breakthrough could mean for the token’s trajectory.

The Bear Market Context

XRP started 2025 with bullish momentum but hit a brick wall as the year progressed. The token peaked at $3.65 in July 2025, only to face mounting selling pressure that intensified come October. By the end of Q4 2025, XRP had collapsed 35.38%, dragging the annual performance down to an 11% decline. The October downturn was particularly brutal—it triggered a sustained downtrend where XRP dropped from $3.1 and couldn’t recover for nearly three months.

What made October so significant? According to analyst Waters Above, that’s when a descending resistance trendline formed after the market crash on Oct. 10. Bears seized control and held it for 90 days straight. XRP attempted to break free twice—once in mid-November near $2.6, and again in early December—but both times the resistance line held firm.

The Breakout That Could Change Everything

That changed on January 2, 2026, when XRP surged 6.71% intraday and finally penetrated the resistance. As of now, XRP is trading at $2.14, up 2.34% over the past 24 hours and 9.06% year-to-date. The critical question: can it maintain a daily close above this resistance level?

“If it does, XRP’s next line of action would be converting this resistance into a support level,” Waters Above explained. This is crucial because it would signal a true shift from bear to bull territory and set up the conditions for a deeper recovery.

Where Analysts See Upside

The price targets are stacking up. Analyst Chart Nerd identified that XRP has begun forming higher lows within a multi-month descending channel. Once the upper trendline of that channel (around $2.1) is broken, Chart Nerd projects XRP could target the $2.7 region—the very level it collapsed from during the recent bearish phase.

Tara, another prominent analyst, highlighted that local resistance sits at $1.96. Since XRP has already cleared that hurdle and is now at $2.04, Tara believes the next critical target is $2.3, provided XRP maintains support above $1.88.

The Recovery Path Forward

What’s interesting is how different analysts are reading the same technical setup differently. Yet they all agree on one thing: the trend could be reversing. The repeated failures to break resistance created a coiled spring. Now that spring appears to be releasing.

However, there’s still work to do. XRP needs to confirm this breakout with a sustainable close above the 90-day resistance, establish the support level, and then mount a convincing push toward $2.3-$2.7. Any pullback could test the resolve of bulls, but for now, the technical setup suggests the downtrend may finally be losing steam.

The real test comes in the coming days as traders determine whether this bounce is genuine recovery momentum or just another false break.

Disclaimer: This analysis is informational only and should not be considered investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and unpredictable. Always conduct thorough research and consider your risk tolerance before making any trading decisions.