Russia's Digital Ruble Will Undercut Own MIR Card System, Says Freedom Finance Analyst

Source: CoinEdition Original Title: Russia’s Digital Ruble Will Undercut Own MIR Card System, Says Freedom Finance Analyst Original Link:

Overview

• Analyst warns digital ruble will slow Russian card market growth by 7-9% annually.
• Central bank CBDC has been operational for government agencies since January 1, 2026.
• MIR card system holds 80% payment share but faces blockchain competition ahead.

Russia’s central bank digital currency poses a threat to the country’s domestic payment card infrastructure, according to an analyst at Freedom Finance Global. The analyst Natalia Milchakova stated that the digital ruble will become a “serious competitor” to traditional financial payment systems like the MIR card.

The digital ruble launch will slow the growth of the Russian bank card market by 7% to 9% per year, Milchakova predicted. Russian firms issued around 475 million cards last year with a year-on-year growth rate of 17%. The central bank plans to roll out the digital ruble nationwide in September 2026, with blockchain-powered alternatives potentially eclipsing traditional solutions like credit cards.

Digital Ruble Threatens Domestic Card Infrastructure

The MIR card was launched in 2014 by the central bank-run National Payment Card System to safeguard against Western sanctions. Adoption remained slow until 2017, when a mandate required public sector firms to pay employee wages using MIR cards. Banks must provide all pensioners, civil servants, public sector employees, and welfare recipients with MIR cards.

The National Payment Card System reported that in the decade since inception, MIR card transaction volumes exceeded $1.2 trillion with more than 86 billion total transactions. MIR now holds an 80% share of the payments market, bolstered by the departure of Visa and Mastercard following the 2022 Ukraine conflict.

“Even if foreign players return, they will no longer be able to retake a leading position in the Russian market,” Milchakova stated. She added that other fintech solutions using QR codes and biometric technology will also intensify competition. These solutions may already account for up to 25% of daily transactions at Russian point-of-sale terminals.

Government Agencies Lead Adoption Ahead of Retail Launch

Russia accelerated its digital ruble deployment following critical milestones in early 2026. Government agencies began using the central bank digital currency on January 1, 2026, for payments including social security distributions, salary disbursements, and capital expenditure. This marks the transition from pilot phase to operational implementation.

The retail rollout commences September 1, 2026, with mandatory adoption by systemically important banks and high-revenue merchants. The digital ruble functions as a sanctions-mitigation tool designed to circumvent Western financial infrastructure while strengthening Russia’s position within BRICS partnerships.

Following exclusion from SWIFT in 2022, Russia constructed an alternative payment infrastructure to maintain international trade capacity. The digital ruble enables transactions outside Western-controlled networks, particularly with China and India, where Moscow negotiated bilateral CBDC usage agreements for energy trade.