Recently, I came across the CEO of an on-chain analysis platform's perspective, which is quite interesting.
The core logic is actually: stop focusing on when the money will enter the market, there's really no need.
Why? Liquidity sources have long diversified. The old script—whales pumping the market, retail following, and finally a collective escape—this cycle is being broken. Those large institutions holding Bitcoin long-term? They won't easily dump their holdings. Some top asset management firms, holding huge positions, can't even sell them off easily.
There's a detail worth pondering: money hasn't disappeared; it has just flowed elsewhere—stocks, precious metals, other asset classes. The market's capital pool has become too fragmented, so tracking the inflows and outflows in just one direction isn't very meaningful.
The more critical forecast is coming—Bitcoin may never again see a classic bear market with a 50% drop from its all-time high. It sounds optimistic, but here's the turning point: the greater probability in the future is that it will enter a prolonged sideways trading phase. No rapid crashes, just oscillations back and forth.
Sometimes you'll find that the market's most torturous aspect is never the decline itself. The truly difficult part is that deadening sense of stagnation.
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MetaverseLandlord
· 01-10 07:36
Consolidation is the most annoying, even more uncomfortable than a sharp decline.
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StablecoinAnxiety
· 01-09 06:32
Sideways trading is the real torture; a sharp decline can actually keep you alert. I buy into this logic.
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BridgeNomad
· 01-08 02:54
nah the liquidity fragmentation thesis hits different after watching three major bridge collapses. institutions holding btc bags = natural price floor, but here's what keeps me up... what happens when stables decouple across chains? slippage tolerance becomes your worst enemy fr
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CryptoTherapist
· 01-08 02:54
ngl this horizontal chop narrative is giving me "market anxiety syndrome" vibes... like sure, no more 50% rug pulls sounds therapeutic but that sideways grind? that's where the psychological resistance hits different. the real trauma isn't the crash, it's the suffocation.
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DeFi_Dad_Jokes
· 01-08 02:54
Consolidating and grinding through the deadlock is truly despairing, even more painful than a sharp decline.
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NotFinancialAdvice
· 01-08 02:29
Sideways trading is truly more torturous; it's more anxiety-inducing than directly dropping 50%.
Recently, I came across the CEO of an on-chain analysis platform's perspective, which is quite interesting.
The core logic is actually: stop focusing on when the money will enter the market, there's really no need.
Why? Liquidity sources have long diversified. The old script—whales pumping the market, retail following, and finally a collective escape—this cycle is being broken. Those large institutions holding Bitcoin long-term? They won't easily dump their holdings. Some top asset management firms, holding huge positions, can't even sell them off easily.
There's a detail worth pondering: money hasn't disappeared; it has just flowed elsewhere—stocks, precious metals, other asset classes. The market's capital pool has become too fragmented, so tracking the inflows and outflows in just one direction isn't very meaningful.
The more critical forecast is coming—Bitcoin may never again see a classic bear market with a 50% drop from its all-time high. It sounds optimistic, but here's the turning point: the greater probability in the future is that it will enter a prolonged sideways trading phase. No rapid crashes, just oscillations back and forth.
Sometimes you'll find that the market's most torturous aspect is never the decline itself. The truly difficult part is that deadening sense of stagnation.