#数字资产行情上升 Many people in the crypto market go around in circles, thinking that making money depends on achieving a 99% win rate. Actually, that's not the case — in trading $BCH, $ETH, and other coins, what truly sets you apart from others is whether you can view each trade through a probabilistic lens.

To put it simply, the outcome of a single trade cannot be predicted. Win or lose, it fluctuates, and no matter how good your skills are, this fact won't change. Instead of obsessing over individual results, ask yourself three questions:

Does your trading strategy have an advantage? Can it generate a positive expected value over a sufficiently long period? That’s fundamental.

Can you withstand the volatility and stick to your plan? Many people have decent skills, but after one or two losses, they start doubting themselves, frequently changing strategies, and ultimately sabotaging their own progress.

How well do you manage risk? This is the key. No matter how good the market conditions are, they can't withstand a wave of stop-loss sweeps. Knowing when to bet on high-probability setups, cutting losses when needed, and keeping each trade’s loss within an acceptable range — this is the secret to longevity.

The difficulty in trading isn’t in technical indicators. The real challenge is whether you can tolerate short-term losses, accept market uncertainty, and still stick to your rules. It’s a battle with your own mind.

Those who can stay calm amid contract and spot market volatility, and execute their strategies consistently, will ultimately win in the long run. Time will prove everything. As long as you can make rational decisions steadily, the position of the winner will be yours.