#比特币价格走势与周期 Watching Bitcoin fluctuate repeatedly between $85,000 and $90,000, I recall the worst times I got wiped out. Back then, the most frightening thing was these false moves that seemed like a breakout—every time it approached a resistance level, I would buy the dip, only to get crushed back down.

Now looking at this situation, my mindset is completely different. Bitcoin is trapped in a narrow range of 85k-90k, and it doesn't feel the least bit affected by Wall Street's year-end optimism. This is a very clear signal: without genuine demand driving it, relying solely on emotional hype can't push the price up. Analysts say that breaking through $89,000 could see $93,500, and if it fails, it might retest $84,600—sounds very professional, but I no longer take these "upward moves are justified" arguments as a basis for trading.

The key point is to recognize one thing: chasing high in a rebound without fundamental support is just taking the FOMO from earlier as a buy-in. Bitcoin cycles do exist, but cycles don't mean every fluctuation is an opportunity. At this position, instead of guessing whether it can break through, ask yourself: what is driving this price increase? If the answer is "because analysts are bullish," then you should be alert.

Living long is much more important than making quick money.