Recently, KOLs have been touting that prediction markets will become the next explosive track, which I find a bit speechless. Thinking carefully, the cycles in the crypto world have always reflected real-world financial activities—DeFi corresponds to on-chain deposit yield models, NFT corresponds to digital art collection value. So what real-world scenario does the prediction market align with? Basically, it's like fortune-telling or horoscopes—fundamentally no different from horse race betting or lottery, just moving insider gambling onto the chain with a new twist to fleece retail investors.

Instead of pondering these, it's better to just play MEME coins, at least the logic is clearer. What's more telling is that the actions of leading exchanges have already given the answer—if it were truly the next big trend, they wouldn't bother to develop traditional asset derivatives like US stock trading or gold and silver contracts. This precisely shows that they have long since bet on directions with greater growth potential. So, all the hype about prediction markets is just noise—listen to it, but don't take it seriously.