2026-01-08 04:25:56

Let's take a look at the pattern of Bitcoin's bear markets. The first bear market saw an 81% decline, the second 83%, and the third 78%. The numbers are right here, nothing fancy. So the question is—how much will BTC drop in the fourth bear market? Some say history will repeat itself, while others say the market has already changed. The declines from 81% to 83% to 78% seem to have no pattern, but behind this reflects changes in market participants, the impact of institutional entry, and liquidity differences. Each cycle in the crypto world is evolving itself; what will the next one look like? Should you add to your position or cut losses? These are what retail investors truly care about. Historical data is just a reference; the market is always setting the questions.

BTC0,35%

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TokenCreatorOP

· 14h ago

81%, 83%, 78%. These fluctuations really don't show any clear pattern; it just feels like a random drop. Historical data is just a sedative; what truly can save you are the words stop-loss and take-profit. Who can predict what the next drop will look like? Instead of guessing the decline, it's better to first understand how much pressure you can withstand. Institutional entry has changed the game rules; it's no longer the retail investor paradise of the past. Honestly, whether to add positions or cut losses, data can't decide; mindset and capital are the keys.

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BearMarketBuilder

· 15h ago

Still playing this number game, 81%, 83%, 78%... Basically, it's betting on how much it will drop next time. Who the hell can predict that?

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GweiWatcher

· 01-08 04:54

81, 83, 78, these numbers look like the market is playing dice, and it's impossible to predict what the next roll will be.

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BtcDailyResearcher

· 01-08 04:53

This time it's back to gambling. Historical data looks good, but it's really useless at critical moments.

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MemeTokenGenius

· 01-08 04:48

81%, 83%, 78%... Basically, it's just guessing blindly. No one really dares to bet on these numbers, right?

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TokenStorm

· 01-08 04:47

81%, 83%, 78%. This pattern is a contracting triangle on the technical chart, but honestly, the narrowing decline might just indicate liquidity deepening and institutional chips consolidating—next round? I can't bet on 75%, but don't expect only a 50% drop either. The risk factor is at its maximum. Adding positions or stop-loss, it depends on where your liquidation price is. I've already been liquidated long ago [dog head].

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StealthMoon

· 01-08 04:43

81%, 83%, 78%, these fluctuations are truly unpredictable, it looks just like rolling dice. History is just a mirror; the market has long since changed its players. Add positions or cut losses? No one really knows, I’m just following the trend anyway. Institutional entry has indeed changed the game rules, can retail investors win this time? The data looks good, but who dares to guarantee the next drop... Wait, isn’t this logic reversed? How likely is it that history will repeat itself? Bear market declines are becoming more irregular, it feels like the market is self-adjusting.

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AirdropDreamBreaker

· 01-08 04:37

81%, 83%, 78%, these declines are about the same. It feels like the next round will still be a complete collapse that you can't escape. Historical data is just a reference; what really determines whether you make money or not is when you get in and when you get out. Institutions have entered, this time retail investors are different, right? To be honest, who can really predict how many points it will drop? It's better to think about how much you can lose. Still discussing historical patterns. When the bear market really arrives, it will be the same story of cutting losses.

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NightAirdropper