2026-01-08 04:27:08

Recently, Dogecoin's performance has indeed attracted a lot of attention. Opening the market software, you can see a five-day consecutive bullish trend, and community discussions have noticeably increased. Many people ask me whether there is still a chance in this wave and if they can continue to chase. Instead of following the trend based on emotions, it's better to let the data speak. Today, I will analyze the core signals behind this round of rally from a technical perspective.

Let's start with basic concepts. The EMA55 indicator is often called one of the "bull-bear dividing lines," essentially representing the average price trend over the past 55 days. I have conducted a detailed review of Dogecoin's daily data over the past three years and discovered a regular phenomenon: as long as Dogecoin can close stably above the EMA55, the probability of a major move within the next 80 days reaches 72%. This is not a baseless guess; it is supported by real data.

At this point, I must mention a key timing. During the same period last year, Dogecoin experienced a "breakthrough of EMA55" scenario. After several consecutive red closes, it successfully stabilized above this indicator, then initiated a rally lasting 80 days, with a maximum increase of 440%. Investors who followed this rhythm back then are probably still reminiscing about those gains.

What’s interesting now is that history seems to be repeating itself. Two days ago, Dogecoin again closed above EMA55. In my view, this is a signal of a mid-term trend turning positive, in some ways an "entry invitation."

Someone might ask what a single indicator can tell us. Indeed, a single indicator can be questioned easily, but if we look at the long-term trend, from the low point in August 2024 to the current pattern, combined with the current technical signals, the overall situation becomes clearer. The key is to consider multiple dimensions rather than looking at a single time window in isolation. Compared to previous cycles, this opportunity indeed has its unique characteristics.

DOGE4,95%

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CrossChainBreather

· 01-09 22:47

A 72% probability sounds good, but I want to know how the 28% of people who lost are doing now. --- I've also been paying attention to the EMA55 break, just worried it might be another trap to lure in buyers... The last 440% surge was too intense. --- Wait, so the current signal is exactly the same as this time last year? Feels a bit too coincidental. --- I agree with multi-dimensional judgment, but I'm just worried about ending up being the one cut like a chive in the end. --- Is it considered an entry signal if the price stabilizes at the close? I feel like this theory works every time. --- No matter what indicator, the key is still risk control. An 80-day cycle is a bit long. --- Listening to your analysis, I do feel a bit tempted, but I want to see how it performs in the next few days before making a decision. --- I've heard the phrase "history repeats itself" quite a few times, and many have been proven wrong in the end... Holding cash and observing.

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LiquiditySurfer

· 01-08 04:53

A 72% probability sounds impressive, but how large is the sample size of this data... Anyway, I’m not chasing anymore; I got trapped in the first two rounds. --- EMA55 breakout = an invitation to enter? Bro, I heard this same line last year, and look what happened. --- The phrase "history repeats itself" is used very skillfully, but unfortunately, there are no two identical waves in the crypto world. --- Relying on a single indicator can easily lead to failure, but stacking multiple indicators is just a different way to fool yourself. It’s better to directly observe what the whales on the chain are doing. --- I missed that 440% wave for sure, but is there still that feeling of getting in now? That’s the question. --- You found a good entry point for surfing, but I’m just worried the wave might disappear halfway through. --- This analysis looks professional, but Dogecoin has always been an emotional coin. Data has to step aside in front of it.

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LightningPacketLoss

· 01-08 04:38

Are you talking about EMA55 again? I could have sworn you said the same thing last time. Why didn't I catch the 440% last year? That hurts. EMA55 sounds good, but there are a bunch of people using this indicator online. Is it really that exaggerated at 72%? But to be fair, the five consecutive bullish days are indeed interesting, though it feels like everyone is chasing after the trend now. Waiting for a pullback before entering, instead of fussing over the entry invitation, might be better to see if it can break through the key resistance first. Dogecoin, no matter how perfect the technicals are, can be completely thrown into chaos by a single Elon tweet. What I really doubt is whether this kind of regular pattern is still effective in the crypto world.

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MetaNeighbor

· 01-08 04:31

Standing firm on EMA55 and directly calling for entry invitation? I think this guy really knows how to tell stories. EMA55 alone can't support a 72% probability, how is the data calculated? It's the same as last year and a repeat of history, I'm tired of hearing this kind of rhetoric. Five consecutive bullish days mean nothing; if there's a pullback, it still depends on whether it can hold. Dogecoin is just an emotional market; no matter how good the indicators are, they can't withstand large investors dumping.

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