The cryptocurrency market is digesting the geopolitical uncertainty caused by former President Donald Trump’s renewed interest in the Greenland acquisition. Polymarket data shows a 15% probability that the US will acquire Greenland before 2027, with a total trading volume approaching $3 million. Related contracts indicate a 15% chance of partial US acquisition of Greenland in 2026, an 8% to 9% chance of military invasion, and a 22% to 23% chance of Trump visiting Greenland before March 31. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio confirmed he will hold talks with Danish leaders due to increased competition in the Arctic region, citing national security concerns. Denmark and Greenland, however, insist that “Greenland is not for sale.” Traders are analyzing various scenarios of escalation, reflecting cautious positioning rather than speculative frenzy. The region’s potential as a Bitcoin mining hub and a source of artificial intelligence and rare earth minerals has sparked broader interest in the crypto industry, framing this situation within the “hard assets versus fiat currency” narrative, which could strengthen Bitcoin’s role as a hedge against geopolitical and fiscal instability.
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Trump's Greenland ambition has already been traded on-chain
The cryptocurrency market is digesting the geopolitical uncertainty caused by former President Donald Trump’s renewed interest in the Greenland acquisition. Polymarket data shows a 15% probability that the US will acquire Greenland before 2027, with a total trading volume approaching $3 million. Related contracts indicate a 15% chance of partial US acquisition of Greenland in 2026, an 8% to 9% chance of military invasion, and a 22% to 23% chance of Trump visiting Greenland before March 31. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio confirmed he will hold talks with Danish leaders due to increased competition in the Arctic region, citing national security concerns. Denmark and Greenland, however, insist that “Greenland is not for sale.” Traders are analyzing various scenarios of escalation, reflecting cautious positioning rather than speculative frenzy. The region’s potential as a Bitcoin mining hub and a source of artificial intelligence and rare earth minerals has sparked broader interest in the crypto industry, framing this situation within the “hard assets versus fiat currency” narrative, which could strengthen Bitcoin’s role as a hedge against geopolitical and fiscal instability.