Well-known analyst Tom Lee recently shared his outlook for the 2026 market. He believes that the widespread rally at the beginning of the year (involving stocks, precious metals, and cryptocurrencies) is a good sign, indicating that market breadth remains healthy.
However, this year's rhythm will be quite interesting——starting with joy, encountering moments of disappointment in the middle, and then a strong rebound at the end. Similar to last year's pattern. He admits that at some stage this year, it may feel like entering a bear market, but this is actually a false impression, and a significant rebound will follow, ultimately ending with gains.
From the data, Tom Lee predicts the S&P 500 index could reach 7,700 points by the end of 2026. Regarding risks, he believes that when the market tests the new Federal Reserve Chair, there could be a 15% to 20% correction, especially in the second half of the year. But the key point is, this is not the end of the cycle; rather, it presents a good buying opportunity.
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¯\_(ツ)_/¯
· 01-11 06:16
It's the same old "drop first, then rise" script again, been saying it last year, saying it this year too. When has Tom Lee ever been wrong?
That fake bull market in the middle sounded so satisfying, a 15-20% correction is definitely a bottom-fishing signal, brothers.
7700 points? Forget it, let's see if we can stay steady at 7000 first, don't want another paper wealth.
This guy sounds confident, but in the end, it all boils down to "buy buy buy," those who understand, understand.
Waiting for risk in the second half of the year is the same as not saying anything at all, who really managed to avoid it?
It's truly "bitter first, then sweet," a classic psychological comfort master, haha.
Market breadth sounds good, but we have to see how much retail investors can actually benefit.
It's another "buy the dip" story, told every year.
I believe the S&P will hit 7700, but I don't know if our coins can keep up with the pace.
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potentially_notable
· 01-10 18:01
Tom's usual rhetoric works every year, it really can't be faked.
Start with a rise, cut in the middle, rebound at the end—aren't all scenarios covered?
The number 7700 sounds outrageous; we'll still have to see the Federal Reserve's stance.
It's another adjustment opportunity, another buying chance—why is there no sell signal?
S&P aiming for 7700? I'll trust you this time, betting that the second half of this year won't be too bad.
The part about feeling discouraged halfway through is real; last year, some people got cut like that.
Risk warnings are almost the same as not mentioning them; true black swans are always unpredictable.
After hearing this cycle talk so many times, the key is still to see how many months your holdings can last.
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ser_aped.eth
· 01-09 03:06
Tom is starting to tell stories again, initial rise, middle dip, final rebound... sounds just like last year, still the same old rhetoric.
Is 7700 real? How can you still buy with a 15-20% adjustment in the second half of the year... this logic is a bit confusing.
It's always "illusion" and "buying opportunity," saying the same thing every day, haha.
The S&P 7700 feels a bit exaggerated, but a drop could also be an opportunity.
The initial rise is indeed pretty exciting, but panicking halfway through is a no-go.
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StableGenius
· 01-08 06:49
lol tom lee really said "trust me bro it's just a bear trap" again... like clockwork, every cycle same playbook
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AirdropFreedom
· 01-08 06:49
Another false narrative of a bear market. Heard it last year, still hearing it this year? Tom Lee's latest prediction still feels the same. Everyone knows that a sharp drop is inevitable in the middle.
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7700 points? Sounds tempting, but the 15-20% correction in the second half of the year is the real test. How many people can hold up then?
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Joy at the start, frustration midway, rebound at the end... This script seems to play out every year. The question is, how many times have we really stuck it out till the end?
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I've heard "buying opportunity" many times. The key is having bullets in the chamber and maintaining a steady mindset.
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The S&P aiming for 7700 gives a target, but it still feels like that old saying—easy to know but hard to do, everyone.
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Wait, is the recent adjustment by the new Federal Reserve Chair really just 15-20%? Feels like the risks are underestimated.
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I'm a bit unsure—does Tom Lee really see the bright future, or is he just giving everyone a warning?
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The rebound isn't small? Listening to him, it sounds like he says that every time. But what’s the actual result?
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AirdropDreamer
· 01-08 06:46
Another fake drop market? Last year's tactics were just copy-paste... What a joke to believe in it.
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7700 is not greedy; being able to catch the dip is true skill.
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Uh... so was that dip an "opportunity" or "cutting losses"? Tom, you better clarify.
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Looks like we're about to go through another roller coaster. Is everyone ready with their wallets?
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The S&P is pushing towards 7700. Can our crypto circle keep up...
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Bear market illusion? I've heard that phrase too many times. Wake up and talk sense.
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The key is the Federal Reserve. I bet that in the second half of the year, it will really drop by 15-20%.
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It's another rebound, another rebound, another rebound. When will it be time for steady growth?
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OfflineNewbie
· 01-08 06:45
Haha, here comes the routine script again, scaring everyone in the middle and then rebounding to end... I don't believe you at all.
This kind of rhetoric can be heard every year, anyway, there are reasons for any movement, right?
7700? Dreaming or real, the Federal Reserve will stabilize first and then talk.
A 15-20% drop... I can't even look at the market with this much principal cut in half.
Rebound buying opportunity, easy to say, but I have no bullets left.
It's either a correction or a false illusion, circling around so much just to make us hold, right?
This guy predicts that I will also, first rise, then fall, and finally surge. Do you think I will be right this time?
Instead of listening to him, it's better to watch the Federal Reserve Chair's face; that's the real guiding indicator.
The market surged so enthusiastically at the beginning of the year, and a correction is inevitable in the middle. That's the rule, right everyone?
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BlockchainFries
· 01-08 06:43
It's the same old "drop first, then rise" script again. Old Tom's predictions are always so formulaic.
Tom always wants to be a prophet, but that 20% dip in the middle can make how many people cut their losses, and that's it.
7700 points, right? We'll see. First, let's hold onto the chips in our hands.
If the S&P can reach 7700, it would truly be a dream come true, but the Federal Reserve's hurdle must be approached with caution.
Another round of "tests" is coming. The pitfalls in the second half of the year are definitely the easiest for people to step into.
Predictions are fun to listen to beforehand, but after the fact, they always turn out differently.
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SchrodingerGas
· 01-08 06:22
Tom is telling stories again, starting with a rise, then a fall, and finally a rebound... Has this script been played out last year? The question is, how many people really dare to buy during the "fake bear market"? Gambling is all about who admits defeat first.
Wait, if the 15-20% adjustment by the new Federal Reserve Chair actually happens, shouldn't we look at that line in the second half from a reversed perspective—the on-chain evidence will speak.
Well-known analyst Tom Lee recently shared his outlook for the 2026 market. He believes that the widespread rally at the beginning of the year (involving stocks, precious metals, and cryptocurrencies) is a good sign, indicating that market breadth remains healthy.
However, this year's rhythm will be quite interesting——starting with joy, encountering moments of disappointment in the middle, and then a strong rebound at the end. Similar to last year's pattern. He admits that at some stage this year, it may feel like entering a bear market, but this is actually a false impression, and a significant rebound will follow, ultimately ending with gains.
From the data, Tom Lee predicts the S&P 500 index could reach 7,700 points by the end of 2026. Regarding risks, he believes that when the market tests the new Federal Reserve Chair, there could be a 15% to 20% correction, especially in the second half of the year. But the key point is, this is not the end of the cycle; rather, it presents a good buying opportunity.