#我的2026第一条帖 Bitcoin Surges to $98,000 New High! Market Will Choose Direction | Key Strategies for January 15

Bitcoin and Ethereum, after reaching recent highs, have entered a phase of high-level consolidation. The market faces a critical decision: continue breaking through or undergo a deep correction?

Bitcoin: Building Momentum at High Levels, Watch Key Support

Current Status: After breaking above $95,000, the price faced resistance at a high of $97,899 and is now fluctuating in the $96,000-$97,000 range.

· Key Resistance: $97,800–$98,000. This is the previous high pressure and an important psychological threshold; breaking through could open the path toward $100,000.
· Core Support: $96,000 (immediate) → $95,000 (strength/weakness boundary) → $93,400 (trend lifeline).
· Technical Signals: Daily EMA golden cross remains intact, but 4-hour MACD momentum shows slight weakening; volume increase is needed to confirm a valid breakout.

Trading Ideas:

1. Bullish: If the price retraces to stabilize around $96,000–$95,000, consider it a trend-long opportunity.
2. Bearish: If the rebound near $97,800 is clearly resisted, try a small short position.
3. Risk Management: If the daily close drops below $93,400, the short-term bullish trend may weaken.

Ethereum: Consolidating in a Narrow Range, Awaiting Breakout Signal

Current Status: Price is oscillating around $3,330, facing resistance from dense moving averages above and structural support below.

· Key Resistance: $3,400 (recent high) → $3,450 (previous high zone).
· Core Support: $3,300 (immediate) → $3,280 (recent low) → $3,100 (strong support level).
· Technical Signals: Daily RSI at 51 indicates a balanced bullish/bearish state; 4-hour chart shows a “higher lows” bullish structure, but a breakout above $3,400 is needed to activate buying momentum.

Trading Ideas:

1. Bullish: If the price retraces to stabilize around $3,280–$3,300, consider long positions with a stop-loss below $3,250.
2. Bearish: If the rebound to $3,390–$3,400 is resisted and the price falls back, try a small short.
3. Breakout Follow-up: Volume breakout above $3,400 can be followed for longs targeting $3,450; if volume drops below $3,280, the short-term structure turns bearish.

Summary: Market at a Critical Junction

· Overall View: The bull market structure remains intact, but after a short-term rally, profit-taking and consolidation are healthy behaviors.
· Core Strategy: Avoid chasing or selling at mid-range prices. Patience is key—wait for clear signals at Bitcoin’s ($95,000–$98,000) and Ethereum’s ($3,280–$3,400) boundary zones before acting.
· Risk Reminder: Volatility tends to increase after new highs; set stop-losses and control position sizes diligently.

The market is about to choose a short-term direction. Will you position at support levels or follow through after a breakout?