📊 Ethereum Market Analysis #BTC冲击96,000美元

· Price: 3302 USDT, down slightly by 0.26% intraday, in the lower-mid range of the 24-hour zone (3272–3384).
· Structure: Price has broken below the MA20(3323) and MA30(3322) consolidation zone, currently close to MA10(3302), indicating a short-term weakening structure.
· Volume: MACD bearish crossover downward, green bars slightly narrowing but still below zero line, indicating dominance of bearish momentum; RSI is at 45.22, approaching neutral but slightly weak zone.
· Orders: Buy orders account for 58.19%, slightly higher than sell orders, showing some willingness to support around 3300, but not enough to cause a significant rebound.

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🎯 Key Bull and Bear Levels

Bullish Signals (Support for Long Positions)

· Support 1: 3290–3300 (near MA10 + psychological round number)
· Support 2: 3272 (24-hour low, key defensive level)
· Stop-loss: Break below 3260 (structure breakdown, risk of deeper correction)
· Targets: 3325 → 3350–3380

Bearish Signals (Resistance for Short Positions)

· Resistance 1: 3325–3330 (MA20–MA30 resistance zone, key resistance for rebound)
· Resistance 2: 3350 (previous platform resistance)
· Stop-loss: Hold above 3360 (return to strength)
· Targets: 3290 → 3272 → 3250

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🔄 Trading Strategy

1. If retesting and stabilizing at 3290–3300: consider light long positions, stop-loss at 3270, targets 3325–3350.
2. If rebound is blocked at 3325–3330: consider short positions, stop-loss at 3350, targets 3290–3272.
3. If volume breaks below 3272: consider light short positions, targets 3250–3220.
4. If a strong breakout above 3330 and stabilization occurs: shift to a more bullish outlook, targets around 3350–3380.

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⚠️ Notes

· Price is oscillating within a small range between 3300–3330, direction is unclear.
· MACD bearish crossover below zero line indicates a short-term bearish trend; rebound and shorting are the main strategies.
· If the price consolidates around 3300 without making new lows, it may form a short-term bottom. Watch for signs of volume-supported rebounds.