XRP Distribution Phase Targets $6 to $14 Range

Source: CryptoNewsNet Original Title: XRP Distribution Phase Targets $6 to $14 Range Original Link:

Current Market Position

XRP continues to trade under pressure as weakness across the wider crypto market weighs on price action. After climbing to $2.41, the price has pulled back to $1.90. While short-term momentum remains soft, market data suggests the market may be setting up for a much larger move.

Specifically, XRP’s current behavior confirms a long-term thesis that has played out since the 2024 rally. XRP now sits within a distribution phase that often precedes strong continuation moves, especially when the price spends extended time moving sideways.

Key Technical Indicators

• XRP has pulled back to $1.90 after reaching a recent high of $2.41, indicating a corrective move after an initial surge
• Sideways price action indicates a balance between buyers and sellers, not weakening demand
• The correction follows a clear five-wave advance, suggesting the broader bullish structure remains intact
• A final resolution phase could briefly test support near $1.70 before reversing higher
• Extended consolidation increases the potential for a stronger breakout once momentum returns
• Current cycle projections point to upside targets ranging from $6 to $14 if the trend resumes

Understanding the Flat Pattern

XRP is forming a flat pattern, a corrective structure that appears when buyers and sellers reach a temporary balance. However, this balance often indicates strength beneath the surface, not weakness. Specifically, the market pauses not because conviction disappears, but because urgency fades on both sides.

XRP already completed a clear five-wave advance earlier in the cycle, confirming bullish intent. However, instead of pushing straight into another rally, the market entered a compression phase to absorb gains and establish a new floor.

The Psychological Impact of Consolidation

Flat patterns exist to frustrate traders psychologically. Notably, the price does not trend strongly in either direction, which wears down both bulls and bears over time. Leveraged positions unwind slowly, and impatience replaces confidence. This process clears weak positioning without sharp sell-offs.

Most XRP traders still agree on the broader direction but disagree on the timing. This disagreement removes panic and excitement from the market, creating a calm but uncomfortable environment. The markets often build the strongest moves from these quiet, frustrating phases.

The A-B-C Structure Breakdown

The flat pattern divides into three waves:

Wave A: A controlled pullback rather than a fear-driven sell-off, pushing XRP from the $3.4 high in January 2025 to $1.67 by April 2025. During this wave, traders trimmed positions, and the price drifted lower without urgency.

Wave B: A rebound that moved above the January high, hitting $3.66 by July 2025. This move created what analysts call an expanded or running flat. While the bounce looked bullish on the surface, it lacked strong momentum and commitment, trapping traders who expected immediate continuation.

Wave C: The resolution phase of the flat, which turns impulsive because one side of the market finally gives up. Stops trigger, weak hands exit, and positioning resets. Although the broader structure remains corrective, wave C moves with force because it releases built-up pressure. XRP currently trades within Wave C, which has pushed prices from the $3.66 peak in July 2025 to the current level of $1.90.

Target Scenarios and Risk Management

XRP’s year-long consolidation signals strength even on higher timeframes. If the price briefly breaks structure to hit $1.70, such a move would still complete the flat rather than invalidate the bullish cycle.

Two scenarios emerge:

1. Running Flat: The price resolves higher without breaking previous lows
2. Expanded Flat: The price briefly dips below the structure before reversing

Both paths point toward higher levels once the correction ends. Based on this setup, XRP could target at least $6 in the current cycle, with extended upside reaching as high as $14. Risk management remains crucial, with suggested profit-taking targets around $2.70.