January 25, 2026 ETH Technical Strategy (as of 12:00, UTC+8)

- Current Price: approximately $2,949 USD, intra-day narrow-range sideways movement with a slight bearish bias, low weekend liquidity, highly correlated with BTC.
- Core Conclusion: Short-term sideways with a bearish tilt, strong support at 2,940/2,900, strong resistance at 2,970/3,000; focus on range-bound high sell and low buy before volume breakout, strict risk control.

Key Price Levels (USD)

- Support 1 (Strong): 2,940 (Intraday low / Short-term trading zone)
- Support 2 (Strong): 2,900 (Psychological level / Mid-term lower boundary)
- Support 3 (Strong): 2,850 (Previous low / Trend support)
- Resistance 1 (Strong): 2,970 (EMA50 / Intraday high)
- Resistance 2 (Strong): 3,000 (Psychological level / Mid-term trading zone)
- Resistance 3 (Strong): 3,030 (Short-term holder cost line)

Indicator Overview

- Daily: Price below **EMA50(2,970)**, weekly is bearish, mid-term under pressure.
- 4H: RSI(14)=43-45 neutral to weak; MACD below zero line, bearish momentum not exhausted, no obvious divergence.
- 1H: Narrow-range sideways, declining volume, significant bullish-bearish divergence, waiting for direction.

Trading Strategy (including risk control)

1. Short-term (Intraday)
- Long: Light position at 2,940-2,950, stop loss at 2,930, target 2,965-2,970.
- Short: Light position at 2,965-2,970, stop loss at 2,980, target 2,950-2,940.
2. Mid-term (1-3 days)
- Break-down Short: Break below 2,900 with volume, chase short, stop loss at 2,920, target 2,870-2,850.
- Break-out Long: Hold above 3,000 with volume, chase long, stop loss at 2,980, target 3,030-3,050.
3. Strict Risk Control
- Total position ≤20%, single trade ≤10%; low liquidity on weekends, heavy positions strictly prohibited.
- Strict stop-loss, single trade loss ≤2%; high volatility during US market hours, place orders in advance to avoid chasing.

Risk Warning

- Macro: Risks from Federal Reserve policies, BTC correlation, potentially causing liquidity contraction and selling pressure.
- Technical: Weekly bearish signals not lifted, breaking key support may accelerate downward movement.

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