$AIA #AIAgentProjectsI’mWatching

Below is a professional multi-timeframe analysis of AIA/USDT. The analysis follows structure: 4H (Direction) → 1H (Liquidity) → 15M (Structure) → 5M (Execution) .

1. 4-Hour Chart – The Directional Bias

· Current Price: 0.12585
· Market Structure: Price is trading within a wide range after a sharp move down from the high of 0.19851. We are currently seeing a recovery phase.
· Key Levels:
· Resistance: 0.12989 (Upper Bollinger Band) / 0.15200 (Recent Swing High)
· Support: 0.10489 (Recent Low) / 0.09965 (Structural Low)
· Indicators:
· MACD (12,26,9): MACD line (0.00307) is above the DEA (0.00329)? Wait—this indicates a bearish crossover? Let’s check: DIF (0.00636) is above DEA (0.00329). That is bullish. The histogram is positive. Momentum is shifting upward.
· Directional Call: Bullish recovery but still inside a larger range. We are not yet in a full trend reversal, but momentum is building to the upside.

Verdict: Look for long opportunities on lower timeframes, targeting a move toward the range high (0.12989–0.15200)

2. 1-Hour Chart – Liquidity Identification

· Current Price: 0.12550
· Market Structure: Price is attempting to break above the immediate resistance zone.
· Liquidity Pools:
· Liquidity Above (Sell Stops/Buy Liquidity):
· 0.12895 (SAR Resistance)
· 0.13114 (Upper Bollinger Band)
· 0.15200 (Daily High)
· Liquidity Below (Buy Stops/Sell Liquidity):
· 0.12338 (Lower Bollinger Band)
· 0.11956 (Recent Swing Low)
· 0.11357 (Next Support)
· 0.10454 (Daily Low)
· Current Situation: Price is coiling between the middle and upper Bollinger band. The MACD is flat but above zero. We are in a consolidation phase above value area.

Observation: The immediate liquidity is above (0.12895–0.13114). A break and hold above this zone could trigger a run toward 0.15200.

3. 15-Minute Chart – Break of Structure (BOS) / Change of Character (ChoCh)

· Current Price: 0.12536
· Market Structure:
· We have seen a series of higher lows and higher highs since the bottom at ~0.11119.
· The most recent structure: Price broke above 0.12500, retraced, and is now holding above it.
· Key Levels:
· Immediate Support: 0.12500 (psychological)
· Immediate Resistance: 0.12895 (SAR from 1H)
· BOS/ChoCH Confirmation:
· Bullish BOS: A break above 0.12895 would confirm a continuation of the upward move.
· Bearish ChoCh: A break below 0.12500 and then 0.12338 would indicate a shift to bearish intent.

Current Status: Price is currently consolidating between 0.12536 and 0.12895. No clear BOS yet, but the bias remains bullish as long as price stays above 0.12500.

4. 5-Minute Chart – Execution Plan

· Current Price: 0.12546
· Market State: Price is chopping inside a narrow range.
· Execution Strategy (Long Bias):
1. Trigger: Wait for a clean 5-minute candle close above 0.12895 (the 1H SAR resistance). This is our confirmation of a BOS on the 15M and a liquidity grab on the 1H.
2. Entry: 0.12910 (just above resistance, allowing for spread).
3. Stop Loss: Place below the recent swing low on the 15M, which is 0.12500. This gives us room and aligns with the 1H structure.
4. Take Profit (TP) Levels:
· TP1: 0.13114 (1H Upper Bollinger Band)
· TP2: 0.14208 (1H resistance)
· TP3 (runner): 0.15200 (Daily High)
5. Invalidation: If price breaks below 0.12500 and holds, the long thesis is invalid. Reassess for shorts targeting 0.11956.

Summary for the Trader

· Trend (4H): Bullish recovery within a range.
· Liquidity (1H): Above at 0.12895–0.13114. Below at 0.12338.
· Structure (15M): Bullish above 0.12500. Waiting for a break of 0.12895 for confirmation.
· Plan (5M): Buy on breakout above 0.12895, stop below 0.12500, target 0.13114–0.15200.

Risk Note: The 4H chart still shows a large range. This is a counter-trend move within a downtrend structure on the weekly. Manage position size accordingly and trail stops once TP1 is hit.