Raiffeisen Bank International (SEP:RBI) Analyst Consensus Jumps 24% Amid Institutional Surge

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The consensus one-year valuation estimate for Raiffeisen Bank International has been revised upward to CZK944.09 per share, representing a significant 24.34% increase from the previous forecast of CZK759.26 released in early December 2025. This bullish reassessment reflects strengthening analyst sentiment on the Czech bank stock trading on the SEP exchange, as the revisions now span a wider range of expectations from CZK542.14 to CZK1,366.26 per share. However, the current market price of CZK1,066.00 stands about 11% above the new consensus target, suggesting some profit-taking opportunities at current levels.

Institutional Appetite Intensifies for SEP:RBI

The landscape of institutional ownership around Raiffeisen Bank has undergone notable shifts. While the number of funds and institutional positions holding RBI stock dipped to 91 entities—down 30 holders or 24.79% from the previous quarter—the average portfolio allocation dedicated to the bank has actually expanded by 35.98%. This apparent contradiction reveals that existing institutional players are doubling down on their RBI positions while some marginal investors have exited.

Total shares held by institutions decreased modestly by 15.95% to 8.554 million shares over the three-month period, suggesting a strategic consolidation rather than broad-based selling. Major asset managers including Vanguard, BlackRock’s iShares subsidiary, and Old Westbury have maintained or grown their exposure to the bank stock.

Major Fund Positions Show Buying Intent

Vanguard’s Total International Stock Index Fund Investor Shares (VGTSX) currently holds 1.841 million shares, representing a 0.56% ownership stake. The fund added to its position incrementally, raising holdings from 1.818 million shares and expanding its RBI allocation weight by 1.79% over the latest quarter.

The Vanguard Developed Markets Index Fund Admiral Shares (VTMGX) likewise bolstered its RBI commitment with 1.147 million shares now on its books, up from 1.137 million previously, while increasing portfolio weight allocation by 5.61%. BlackRock’s iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF (IEFA) similarly amplified exposure with 872,000 shares held, up 3.06% from prior quarter holdings, and lifted its RBI weighting by 5.38%.

Both Old Westbury Small & Mid Cap Strategies Fund and iShares MSCI EAFE Small-Cap ETF (SCZ) rounded out the major holders, with the latter increasing shares from 420,000 to 426,000 (a 1.35% raise) while expanding allocation by 1.19%. The pattern of consistent buying by quality fund managers underscores the renewed confidence in the SEP-listed banking stock’s medium-term prospects.

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