XRP is coiling within a significant symmetrical triangle pattern as of February 17, 2026, signaling that a major volatility event may be imminent. Technical projections suggest a potential 33% breakout that could propel the asset beyond the $2.00 psychological milestone. This bullish outlook is supported by a steady accumulation trend among long-term holders and a critical shift in the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), which has reclaimed the 1.0 threshold. However, for this recovery to materialize, XRP must decisively clear the $1.70 resistance barrier and absorb a heavy supply cluster currently sitting between $1.76 and $1.78.
The Symmetrical Triangle: Mapping a 33% Advance
XRP’s multi-week consolidation has resulted in a narrowing price range that historically precedes a powerful directional move.
The Breakout Level: Confirmation of the bullish thesis requires a sustained move above $1.70. A successful flip of this level into support would invalidate the consolidation phase and open the path toward the pattern’s full 33% projection.Early Momentum: Analysts are watching the $1.58 level as an early indicator of breakout strength. Breaking this minor hurdle would provide the initial momentum needed to challenge the primary triangle resistance.
On-Chain Confidence: SOPR and Long-Term HODLing
Fundamental data suggests that the market’s “strong hands” are positioning for an upward move rather than a capitulation.
Profitable Trading Returns: The SOPR metric has climbed back above 1.0, indicating that investors are once again transacting at a profit. This shift often restores market confidence and reduces the likelihood of panic selling during minor pullbacks.Accumulation Drain: The HODLer Net Position Change continues to show green bars, reflecting consistent inflows into long-term wallets. This reduction in exchange-side supply creates a “supply shock” environment that can amplify the impact of any new buying pressure.
The Resistance Wall: Challenges at $1.76
Despite the bullish setup, XRP faces a gauntlet of overhead supply that could stall the rally.
CBD Heatmap Concentration: Data shows a high density of sell orders between $1.76 and $1.78. Many investors who accumulated in this zone during previous sessions may look to “break even” as the price returns, creating a significant sell wall.Downside Floor: If the triangle breaks to the downside, XRP must defend the $1.47 support. A failure here would likely lead to a deeper retracement toward $1.37, similar to the bearish patterns observed in early February.
Essential Financial Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Reports of a potential 33% XRP breakout and the reclaim of the 1.0 SOPR threshold are based on technical chart patterns and on-chain data as of February 17, 2026. Symmetrical triangles are neutral patterns that can break in either direction; the 33% projection is probabilistic and does not guarantee future price performance. XRP remains a high-risk asset subject to extreme volatility; failing to clear the $1.70 resistance or dropping below the $1.47 floor could lead to significant capital loss. Always conduct your own exhaustive research (DYOR) and consult with a licensed financial professional before making significant investment decisions in Ripple or XRP.
Do you think the “SOPR reset” is the final green light for a $2 XRP, or will the $1.76 sell wall prove too strong for the bulls?
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XRP EYES A 33% BREAKOUT PAST $2 AS HOLDERS ACCUMULATE AND PROFITABILITY RETURNS
XRP is coiling within a significant symmetrical triangle pattern as of February 17, 2026, signaling that a major volatility event may be imminent. Technical projections suggest a potential 33% breakout that could propel the asset beyond the $2.00 psychological milestone. This bullish outlook is supported by a steady accumulation trend among long-term holders and a critical shift in the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), which has reclaimed the 1.0 threshold. However, for this recovery to materialize, XRP must decisively clear the $1.70 resistance barrier and absorb a heavy supply cluster currently sitting between $1.76 and $1.78. The Symmetrical Triangle: Mapping a 33% Advance XRP’s multi-week consolidation has resulted in a narrowing price range that historically precedes a powerful directional move. The Breakout Level: Confirmation of the bullish thesis requires a sustained move above $1.70. A successful flip of this level into support would invalidate the consolidation phase and open the path toward the pattern’s full 33% projection.Early Momentum: Analysts are watching the $1.58 level as an early indicator of breakout strength. Breaking this minor hurdle would provide the initial momentum needed to challenge the primary triangle resistance. On-Chain Confidence: SOPR and Long-Term HODLing Fundamental data suggests that the market’s “strong hands” are positioning for an upward move rather than a capitulation. Profitable Trading Returns: The SOPR metric has climbed back above 1.0, indicating that investors are once again transacting at a profit. This shift often restores market confidence and reduces the likelihood of panic selling during minor pullbacks.Accumulation Drain: The HODLer Net Position Change continues to show green bars, reflecting consistent inflows into long-term wallets. This reduction in exchange-side supply creates a “supply shock” environment that can amplify the impact of any new buying pressure. The Resistance Wall: Challenges at $1.76 Despite the bullish setup, XRP faces a gauntlet of overhead supply that could stall the rally. CBD Heatmap Concentration: Data shows a high density of sell orders between $1.76 and $1.78. Many investors who accumulated in this zone during previous sessions may look to “break even” as the price returns, creating a significant sell wall.Downside Floor: If the triangle breaks to the downside, XRP must defend the $1.47 support. A failure here would likely lead to a deeper retracement toward $1.37, similar to the bearish patterns observed in early February. Essential Financial Disclaimer This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Reports of a potential 33% XRP breakout and the reclaim of the 1.0 SOPR threshold are based on technical chart patterns and on-chain data as of February 17, 2026. Symmetrical triangles are neutral patterns that can break in either direction; the 33% projection is probabilistic and does not guarantee future price performance. XRP remains a high-risk asset subject to extreme volatility; failing to clear the $1.70 resistance or dropping below the $1.47 floor could lead to significant capital loss. Always conduct your own exhaustive research (DYOR) and consult with a licensed financial professional before making significant investment decisions in Ripple or XRP.
Do you think the “SOPR reset” is the final green light for a $2 XRP, or will the $1.76 sell wall prove too strong for the bulls?