#геополитика #США #Iran

🇮🇷 Escalation between the US and Iran is intensifying: key signals of tension

The situation around the US and Iran is rapidly worsening, with an increasing number of geopolitical risks.

What is happening now:
1. Reports of Iran detaining American citizens as a tool of political pressure.
2. The US Embassy in Israel has begun evacuating family members of staff.
3. The US is increasing military presence: approaching carrier groups and aviation in the region.
4. The Geneva nuclear talks ended without an agreement — Tehran rejected the demand for zero uranium enrichment.
5. Donald Trump announced "dissatisfaction" and hinted at the possibility of using force.
6. Israel has opened bomb shelters and heightened civil defense readiness.
7. China has urged its citizens to urgently leave Iran.
8. The Israel Defense Forces have begun calling up soldiers to reinforce air defense systems.

📅 Next week, new technical negotiations are scheduled in Vienna, which could be the last diplomatic window before possible escalation.

AR opinion:
The markets are currently underestimating the geopolitical factor. Any military escalation in the Strait of Hormuz region could instantly impact oil, the dollar, and risk assets, including the crypto market. The upcoming negotiations in Vienna are a critical point that will determine the scenario: de-escalation or a shift to forceful pressure.