ETH Precise Swing Strategy

Core Positioning

Current price 2078, touching intraday low of 2045 with stabilization, represents an extreme second bottom probe in bearish sentiment, corresponding to BTC 68000 support logic, can serve as an extreme long defense line. Overall operation follows range rebound strategy; do not trade against the trend with bearish bias.

Key Resistance Zones

• First Resistance: 2160-2180 (short-term moving average resistance + upper edge of previous consolidation platform, stabilization in this zone confirms rebound continuation)

• Second Resistance: 2200-2230 (daily-level trendline resistance, breakthrough opens upside space)

• Ultimate Target: 2280-2300 (dense chip trapped zone, volume breakout could target around 2380)

📋 Trading Strategy

1. Long Position Setup (Core Strategy)

• On pullback to 2070-2080 zone, establish long positions in batches, set stop loss below 2045 (intraday low breakdown), target first sees 2160, breakthrough targets 2200;

• If unexpectedly breaks below 2070, do not blindly chase shorts, wait for stabilization around 2045-2050 to add longs, strictly control position sizing.

2. Short Position Trial

• On rebound to around 2160, if facing pressure and pullback, can light short positions, set stop loss above 2185, target retest 2120 level;

• On rebound above 2200 strong resistance zone, can add short positions, stop loss 2235, target lower to 2150-2120.

💡 Market Correlation Logic

Current ETH and BTC movements are highly correlated. If BTC stabilizes above 68500, ETH likely rallies to 2150+; if BTC breaks below 68000, ETH needs to be cautious of risk testing 2000 round number. Short-term focus on 2100 level long-short battle; breakthrough opens rebound space, breakdown continues weak consolidation.