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Non-farm vs. BTC Iron Law (Bloody Lesson)
✅ Better than expected (Hot): The dollar strengthens, and the probability of a short-term crash in BTC is extremely high
✅ Worse than expected (Weak): Expectations of rate cuts explode, and BTC often shows V-shaped reversals
Statistics show:
• Strong non-farm: BTC experiences intense volatility on the day, mostly initial selling pressure
• Weak non-farm: Although there is sometimes an initial drop, the rebound probability is higher afterward
Tonight's expectation is relatively weak, but the market fears "surprises"! #加密市场行情震荡 $BTC