Analysis for the evening of April 4: Over the weekend, crypto remains stable and consolidating at low levels. The tariff impact has entered the "final stage" of digestion, and the main market logic remains unchanged.

On the evening of April 4 (Saturday), the crypto market showed a pattern of low-level consolidation and slight recovery throughout the day. After the official implementation of tariffs, the first full trading weekend, there was no further panic selling in crypto. Core assets like BTC continued to hold key support levels, price volatility significantly narrowed, and trading volume was low for the weekend. This further confirms the market logic of "bad news being priced in immediately and quickly digested in the short term": after the concentrated emotional release on April 3, the weekend entered a period of observation and recovery, with the market gradually shifting from panic to calm waiting for catalysts.

Key points on the evening market performance (based on real-time observation):
- Crypto: Followed the morning stabilization trend, BTC and other risk assets rebounded from lows, without breaking important support zones. Bullish defenders remained firm, and there was no large-scale capital outflow. Prices are still within the high-level range, with medium-term targets of $78,000–$82,000 still clear. Liquidity was low Saturday night, so alertness to sudden news is necessary, but overall sentiment is stabilizing.
- Gold: Continued to fluctuate strongly at high levels, with obvious safe-haven buying support. Uncertainty around tariffs provides ongoing resilience for gold, with no significant pullbacks observed throughout the day.
- Stock Market: U.S. stocks are closed for the weekend; next Monday’s Asian and European markets will be key observation points. If no new negative stimuli emerge, the recovery trend may continue.

Market sentiment and signal interpretation for the evening:
- Strengthening of the "bad news fully priced in" signal: The stable performance throughout the day indicates that most negative expectations about tariffs have been priced in early on. Historically, weekends after policy shocks are often critical points where sentiment shifts from venting to recovery, rather than a continuation of shorting.
- External variables: The Federal Reserve’s easing path remains unchanged, and the "ceasefire expectation" (trade negotiations easing signals) remains the most important catalyst for April. Any positive news over the weekend or early next week could quickly trigger a rebound.

My April strategy remains unchanged:
Tariffs are short-term noise; the main focus remains on the ceasefire expectation + Fed policy space. Any pullback in BTC is an opportunity for phased accumulation, with the medium-term target of $78,000–$82,000 unchanged; gold continues to serve as an important hedge.

Summary for the evening:
The tariff story has basically played out; the stable crypto market over the weekend indicates that market sentiment is accelerating recovery. Do not be misled by low liquidity volatility; stay focused on the main theme for April—when catalysts appear, the market will quickly switch to a resilient upward mode.

Stay calm. If weekend news remains calm, the recovery window on Monday is worth looking forward to. Crypto’s inherent volatility remains prominent, and the true climax of April may still be ahead.
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