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Want to accurately capture Bitcoin's pulse in the coming days? No need to delve into complex technical analysis—just follow Uncle U and focus on these 4 key points!
1️⃣ April 6th, Eastern US afternoon, Kuo's press conference
The core is in his tone: whether he talks optimistically about easing tensions through agreements or continues to be tough and aggressive. One statement from him can directly cause the entire market to crash or surge.
2️⃣ April 7th, 8 PM Eastern US, final deadline for the ultimatum
The ultimate watershed: if the situation doesn’t blow up = the market is confident, positive news is realized; if it really blows up = negative news causes a sell-off to release risk, then a rebound from oversold levels.
3️⃣ Strait of Hormuz transit status
The lifeline of global oil transportation! As long as shipping is normal, oil prices can stay stable, and Bitcoin faces no additional negative news; once fully blocked, oil prices could spike past 120+, inflation expectations soar, and Bitcoin may first drop sharply in respect.
4️⃣ Will the US military launch ground operations?
Officially, they have not ruled out deploying ground troops. If they do, it means the conflict is escalating fully, and Bitcoin is likely to gain another boost.
Honestly, although I really dislike Kuo, his tweets and press conferences are currently more important than any technical analysis! Every word before the deadline could move the market by 5 points up or down. Everyone must keep a close eye! #加密市场行情震荡