The prediction for Polymarket's market cap above is actually about to settle, and the reason is that Polymarket is about to launch its own staking token. The event will be settled based on the market cap of this staking token.

Currently, the probabilities for Polymarket's market cap on @predictdotfun have dropped significantly below 10%.
Fortunately, it fluctuated a bit before the decline last night, and my pending orders happened to be sold—luck was on my side.
Hope everyone is doing okay. As of now, there is still some controversy over whether the settlement for this event will be based on the staking token.