Monex Europe: Iran Conflict Drives Safe-Haven Fund Inflows, Dollar Supported Short-Term

Gate News reports that on March 12, Monex Europe analysts released a report stating that the Iran conflict is driving safe-haven funds into the US dollar. Unless credible signs of de-escalation emerge, the dollar may continue to receive support in the short term. The report analyzes that the conflict has led to rising oil prices, reinforcing market expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain its tightening policy longer than previously anticipated, thereby supporting the dollar. However, the report also notes that in the longer term, the market underestimates the potential extent of US policy easing once concerns over energy prices begin to subside, which means the dollar faces downside risks.
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