Let's figure out what smart money is and why most traders don't understand it.



There are two types of players in the market: big whales with huge capital and a crowd of small participants. Whales always act against what the crowd thinks. They play on emotions, hunt stops, and move the price in their favor. The concept of smart money teaches how to recognize these moves.

Why does classic technical analysis often not work? Because a big player intentionally draws patterns and formations for the crowd that people want to see. A beautiful triangle breaks out in an "illogical" direction, strong support suddenly breaks, stops are taken out. Classic TA is just a tool for manipulation. That’s why 95% of small traders lose their deposits.

Smart money works differently. It’s based on candlestick analysis, which allows you to see what the big player is actually doing.

The market has three structures: an upward (bullish trend with new highs), a downward (bearish trend with new lows), and a sideways movement - a flat where the price fluctuates without a clear trend. Identifying the current structure is the foundation of all analysis.

When the price moves sideways, the whale accumulates a position. For this, it needs liquidity — which is the stops of small traders, usually placed beyond obvious levels. A breakout beyond the range is called a deviation. It often signals a reversal back into the sideways range.

Regarding reversal points, swing high and swing low are key moments where the price turns around. Swing high consists of three candles: the middle one with the highest high and two adjacent ones with lower highs. Swing low is the opposite.

A structure break (BOS) is the new high in an uptrend or the new low in a downtrend. Change of character (CHoCH) is a complete trend reversal. The first BOS after a CHoCH confirms a new trend.

Liquidity is fuel for the whale. In practice, it’s the stops of the crowd located beyond significant highs and lows — so-called liquidity pools. The whale hunts this liquidity through impulsive breakouts.

There is a pattern called SFP — swing failure pattern. When the price breaks the previous high or low but then quickly returns. Entering after the candle closes with a stop behind the wick is one of the classic smart money setups.

Imbalance occurs when a long impulsive candle "breaks" the wicks of neighboring candles. This creates a disbalance between buyers and sellers. The price then tries to return and fill this "gap" — like a magnet.

Order block is a place where a big player has traded a large volume. Here, they manipulate liquidity by filling a position. Later, order blocks act as support or resistance, where the price tends to gravitate.

Divergence is a discrepancy between the price movement and an indicator. Bullish divergence: price lows decrease while the indicator rises — a signal for a reversal upward. Bearish divergence: the opposite. The higher the timeframe, the stronger the signal.

Volumes show the true interest of participants. Increasing volumes in an uptrend indicate strength, decreasing volumes indicate weakness. If the price is rising but volumes are falling, a quick reversal may be imminent.

The Three Drives Pattern is a reversal pattern with a series of higher highs or lower lows. The Three Tap Setup is similar but without the third extreme — it indicates accumulation by a big player.

Trading sessions: Asian (03:00-11:00), European (09:00-17:00), American (16:00-24:00) Moscow time. During the day, three cycles: accumulation, manipulation, distribution. Usually, accumulation is during Asia, manipulation during Europe, and distribution during America.

On CME, trading is from Monday to Friday. Between Friday’s close and Monday’s open, a gap can form — a price gap. These gaps are later filled, acting like magnets for the price.

Crypto depends on the traditional market. S&P 500 has a positive correlation with BTC. DXY — the dollar index — has a negative correlation. When the dollar rises, crypto usually gets pressured.

Smart money helps identify the actions of big players and profit from their manipulations. Instead of losing, you learn to trade in sync with the whales. Save this material — it truly changes your understanding of the market.
BTC-0.03%
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
Add a comment
Add a comment
No comments
  • Pin