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Crypto analyst Murphy: The current difficulty of trading BTC in the short term is extremely high—sharing my personal trade records and risk management strategies

2026-04-12 08:32:29

BTC-0.26%

Gate News message: On April 12, crypto analyst Murphy posted on the X platform, saying that the difficulty of short-term Bitcoin trading is extremely high right now, and for most investors, sticking to DCA for the next 6 months may be a better strategy, with a win rate close to “100%.” He emphasized that investing and trading should be strictly distinguished. Murphy revealed that in the past two months, he only made 4 trades: 3 were profitable and 1 was a loss. His latest trade involved building positions in batches between $71,500 and $73,000, with an average cost of $72,300, using 5x leverage; amid market volatility, it hit the stop loss and he exited. Murphy stressed that avoiding “holding a loser” and complacent luck is crucial, otherwise it can easily lead to a risk pattern of small gains and large losses. He said decisions should be guided primarily by the trend on larger timeframes; short-term trading requires strict discipline, and the core of analysis is to serve the trades—not emotional, back-and-forth guessing.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third-party sources and is for reference only. It does not represent the views or opinions of Gate and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Virtual asset trading involves high risk. Please do not rely solely on the information on this page when making decisions. For details, see the Disclaimer.

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