The perfect finale of the golden September and silver October has come to an end, November has arrived, how to win a beautiful turnaround in the last two months of 2025?

Main idea: Long, trading range: Combine with auxiliary low long

The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut has landed, and Chairman Powell's hawkish remarks combined with dual benefits have led to Bitcoin's rise and fall this week. Although the pause in Trump's tariffs has brought some favorable news, it cannot support a significant rebound for Bitcoin; each stage of the rebound presents a good shorting opportunity.

Some say that the political situation in a certain country, along with institutions and whales continuously buying in, will bring some positive effects. This is true, but compared to last year and the first half of this year, even institutions are unable to make significant purchases. How can we trigger the next bull market?

At this time, there are definitely people pinning their hopes on "interest rate cuts". The interest rate cut in October can be considered the first drop of Bitcoin, buy the expectation and sell the fact. This stage has lasted too long, and the market has basically digested it all, which means it's a利箜. Moreover, Master Powell said that the interest rate cut in December is not set in stone, so you can ponder that yourself...

Speaking of the US stock market, last year and even in the first half of this year, Bitcoin and the US stock market have been consistently linked, strong holding strong, weak holding weak, which was also a point for Bitcoin to break through the 120,000 mark in the first half of the year. And recently? There has been a serious decoupling, with the US stock market hitting historical highs every day, while Bitcoin has seen a four-day consecutive decline this week.

On October 11, there was a major earthquake in the Biquan circle, and many platforms cleaned up long leverage. The recent trend is that Bitcoin has been fluctuating with significant rises and falls within this high and low range. Therefore, I believe that a temporary peak will be seen above 120,000, and if it reaches a complete peak, the overall market will at least adjust below 105,000 or even drop below 100,000.

Looking at the recent sharp declines followed by multiple rebounds, there have been several obstacles at 116,000, leading to a drop. This week was no different, as it fell from 116,000 to 106,000, a full 10,000 points from Monday to the end of the week.

Don't always ask whether it's more or empty? Understand the thinking, understand the trend, understand the skills, everything will be clear, then trading will come naturally...