#美国政府停摆 Looking back, government shutdowns are not uncommon in the United States. This time, it seems to be another tug-of-war. The Senate has passed a procedural vote, but there's still a long way to go before it's truly over. The House still needs to convene and pass the bill, and Trump must sign it. Any hiccup in any of these steps could cause delays.

This reminds me of the 2013 shutdown, when Obama and the Republican Party were deadlocked over the budget, and the shutdown lasted 16 days. Looking back, history tends to be eerily similar. Politicians argue over their own interests, while ordinary people suffer.

However, the market seems optimistic about the shutdown ending, expecting it to restart between the 12th and 15th. But I remain skeptical; the current political climate is more tense than back then. Personally, I wouldn't be too optimistic and should prepare for a prolonged fight. These things are often easy to start but hard to end.

Looking back at history, each government shutdown recovery has been a long process. It has significant impacts on the economy and the markets. Since we are in a sensitive economic period, the effects of this shutdown might be even greater. We've seen this many times; we know not to judge just by surface appearances. We still need to be patient and watch how it ultimately unfolds.