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How the US stock market moves = How cryptocurrency moves.
This week's key data is clustered, coupled with a sharp decline in liquidity due to Thanksgiving - the market is about to face a directional moment.
📉 Monday: Setting the Mood
Dallas Federal Reserve Business Activity Index (23:30)
Leading indicators of the southern manufacturing and energy sectors
On a day with low trading volume, expectations are more likely to amplify market movements.
Institutions are reducing positions in advance, and the market is weak and cautious.
⚠️ Tuesday: High Energy Warning Day
① US September Retail Sales (Revised) - "Terrifying Data"
Consumption accounts for about 70% of the U.S. GDP, and its strength directly affects policy expectations and asset pricing.
② September PPI Producer Price Index
The key upstream of the inflation chain will determine whether future prices continue to cool.
🧱 Wednesday: The Inflation Anchor Debuts
Initial Jobless Claims
The strength or weakness of employment remains a sensitive point for the Federal Reserve.
Core PCE (October)
No CPI this month → Core PCE = The most critical inflation indicator
The Federal Reserve's 2% target is to keep an eye on it.
📘 Thursday midnight: Beige Book
First-hand corporate surveys from 12 regional Federal Reserves:
The "on-site situation" of the real economy, employment, and prices.
It is highly significant for reference during the data gap period.
🦃 Thanksgiving Trading Reminder
Thursday: US stock market closed
Friday: Close 3 hours early
➡️ Liquidity plummets, and volatility can easily be magnified.
The cryptocurrency market may experience "massive fluctuations without volume."
🎯 The 4 most important things this week
Horrific data: Retail sales
Inflation Anchor: Core PCE
Federal Reserve Wind Direction: Beige Book
Liquidity Trap: Thanksgiving Holiday
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