2025-12-20 13:00:40

#数字资产市场洞察 Is the 2025 crypto market really playing out according to your script?🔄

Honestly, many people are a bit confused right now — despite continuous positive signals, why isn’t the market gaining momentum? It feels like the big bull market should have arrived already, but it’s just circling in place. Take a closer look at this year’s trend, and you’ll notice the pattern has actually changed.

A few key moments in 2025:

• Early in the year: Policy expectations and Federal Reserve easing signals soared, pushing Bitcoin up to $100,000 in one go.
• Mid-year setbacks: Trade policy adjustments combined with a slowdown in rate cuts, leading to a market correction.
• Later rebound: Several favorable policies were implemented, along with signals of rate cuts in September, causing Bitcoin to break through the $120,000 mark twice in August and October.
• Now: During a data vacuum, the market is starting to worry about the "recession and rate cuts" narrative, with enthusiasm cooling off significantly, and Bitcoin oscillating at high levels.

The biggest issue now isn’t the lack of positive signals, but the absence of a unified, strong main narrative to connect everything. On-chain data also confirms this — active Bitcoin addresses have fallen to a new cycle low, indicating that actual activity on the network is weakening. This is no longer a crazy FOMO bull market, but a complex situation reshaped by macro, geopolitical, and institutional factors intertwined.

In such a market, maybe it’s time to change your approach: instead of waiting for that inevitable surge that will change your fate, look for those things that continue to generate value regardless of the overall trend. These "certainty" assets may not make you rich overnight, but in the long run, they are often the assets that can truly withstand cycles.

BTC1.04%

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NeverPresent

· 4h ago

Hey, it's that same "finding certainty" rhetoric again... Just listen, the real chips have already been eaten up by institutions. The active address count hitting a new low in the cycle is indeed hard to justify; retail investors have all left, how can there be any trading? From 100,000 to 120,000, I never bought the bottom. Watching the replay now, I realize how amateur I am. Lacking a main narrative? Basically, no one dares to lead the charge; everyone is just waiting for others to take the bait. Instead of waiting for a sharp rise, it's better to look for value. That sounds good, but what can be found are things retail investors can't participate in. Economic data vacuum periods are the best time for major players to shake out positions, I'm used to it. Bitcoin is oscillating repeatedly at high levels, and my stop-loss orders have all been hit—impressive. This market now is just institutions and macro factors dancing; let's just stand by and watch the show. Those "chips crossing cycles" sound easy, but try holding for three years—it's hard to say if your mentality can withstand crossing cycles.

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MiningDisasterSurvivor

· 4h ago

It's the same old spiel, I'm already tired of hearing it since 2018. Talking about crossing cycles when active addresses are at a new low—I've heard that self-soothing line before. Wait, if there's no main narrative, then no one will buy in. Stop sugarcoating it.

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CryptoPunster

· 4h ago

Laughing while losing everything on this trade, wait, can this script keep playing? Active addresses hit a new low, in plain terms, the big players are just watching the show, and we retail investors are still dreaming. Instead of waiting for a surge, it's better to double down on your confidence; this move is more exciting. "Certainty," huh? Let's see who can confidently navigate through this macro minefield. Mid-term setbacks mean I just timed my all-in wrong again. A bull market without a narrative—this is just a daily reflection of my wallet. The enthusiasm has clearly cooled down. Are you talking about my leverage interest, or is it the market itself? When policies were flying everywhere, I should have run. I only realize it now. My chopping skills as a retail investor are really good.

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GateUser-a5fa8bd0

· 5h ago

The number of active addresses has dropped to a new low, this is the most heartbreaking data... It shows that everyone is actually just waiting, no one is really taking action.

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ArbitrageBot

· 5h ago

Active addresses have dropped to a new low, this signal is a bit concerning. --- In simple terms, it's a lack of stories; no one dares to take over. --- Waiting for a surge? Still need to find projects that can sustain steady outflows. --- Back when it was 120,000, those who didn't escape the top should now reflect. --- Institutions are shaking out, retail investors are in a daze, the absence of stories is the most terrifying. --- Instead of guessing the top or bottom, it's better to look for things that generate long-term cash flow. --- This wave is either a bear market or no one knows what will happen next. --- On-chain data doesn't lie; declining activity indicates there's really no heat. --- Lacking a main narrative is like lacking a relay; no wonder it's so painful. --- Long-term holdings are more reliable than short-term quick riches, but who can resist?

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CrashHotline

· 5h ago

Number of active addresses drops to a new low in the cycle, this detail is amazing... it shows that really no one is playing I heard that those waiting for a big surge are waiting for a "story that will definitely change their fate," but in the end, they still have to find certainty themselves This market is just ridiculous, with good news piling up like mountains, yet enthusiasm remains cold as ice The 120,000 still fluctuates repeatedly, truly lacking that crazy feeling Instead of obsessing over recession and rate cuts, it's better to see who is quietly creating value

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SignatureAnxiety

· 5h ago

It's the same old story... Active addresses hitting a new low, so what? I've already given up on it. Bitcoin has been oscillating at high levels for a long time. What are you waiting for, a main narrative? Honestly, it's just institutions accumulating. Instead of looking for certainty, it's better to be realistic about how much you can afford to lose.

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