#比特币价格走势 James Wynn's alert is worth following, but it needs to be interpreted rationally. Looking at his historical prediction record—he issued short orders twice in November, expecting a fall to $67,000, which the actual trend has not reached; recently he closed his short order and turned bullish, expecting a rebound to $97,000-$103,000 before falling again to $46,618.

The problem with this type of prediction is that the amplitude estimate is highly deviated and the time window is vague. From the on-chain data, the key is to observe the movements of whale addresses and the flow of large funds, rather than simply following sentiment alerts. Currently, within the price range of Bitcoin, it is important to track:

1. Exchange inflow/outflow situation - determine whether there is selling pressure or accumulation.
2. The Movement of Long-Term Holders (LTH) - The True Attitude of Institutions
3. Contract Position Data - Leverage Risk Level

Rather than being intimidated by the "blood wash" warning, it is better to establish your own on-chain monitoring system. Market fluctuations are normal, and risk management is always more important than prediction.