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⚡ Shocking signal! Trump stated that the new Federal Reserve chairman must immediately lower interest rates.
The financial market has received another significant piece of information. Former U.S. President Trump recently sent out a clear signal: the first thing the next Chairman of the Federal Reserve must do upon taking office is to initiate a rate-cutting cycle. This is not mere rhetoric, but a direct declaration from the centers of power.
The selection of the current Federal Reserve Chairman is underway. Media reports suggest that the Trump administration is looking for a candidate who is more inclined towards loose monetary policy — in market terms, a "dovish" leader. Former board member Kevin Warsh and advisor Kevin Hassett, among other potential candidates, have recently voiced support for accelerating interest rate cuts, which is clearly not a coincidence. Trump himself has also repeatedly stated that interest rates are too high and should be significantly lowered to stimulate economic growth.
What does this mean for the market? Historical lessons are right in front of us. A low-interest environment has always been a breeding ground for high-growth assets—whether it's tech stocks or cryptocurrencies, ample liquidity can significantly drive up prices. Once the market confirms the roadmap for interest rate cuts, financing costs will immediately decrease, investor risk appetite will increase, and asset revaluation will follow. Previously, even just rumors of Powell's potential removal had caused significant fluctuations in U.S. Treasuries, the dollar, and gold. Now, with the signals of leadership change and interest rate cuts being clearer, the market's reaction can be imagined.
But problems also follow one after another. This practice of treating monetary policy as a political bargaining chip is raising serious doubts about the independence of the Federal Reserve. Some are concerned that politically driven interest rate cuts may ignore inflationary pressures, potentially laying economic pitfalls in the long run. Current Chair Powell has consistently emphasized the need to safeguard the central bank's independence, but pressure from the White House is steadily increasing.
This battle of power and interest rates raises several questions worth pondering:
1. Will a new chairman who immediately lowers interest rates really appear? If so, how far can this round of market movement go?
2. The erosion of central bank independence by politics, is it the key to opening the door to growth or a ticking time bomb left behind?
3. Is this a signal to adjust one's investment allocation and bet on higher-yield assets?