2025-12-25 02:00:17

#比特币与黄金战争 12.25 Gold Market Outlook for Friday｜Trading Opportunities During the Holiday

The Christmas holiday is here, and market liquidity has noticeably tightened, but this doesn't mean the trend will stop. The quieter the trading, the more precise the need to grasp the structure and rhythm — this is a test of traders' skills.

Market Movement
As we approach Christmas Eve, gold begins to consolidate and retrace from high levels. The previous surge in momentum has faded, and the market is gradually shifting from emotion-driven to technically driven.

What to Watch Next
On December 24-25, most European and American markets are closed, resulting in very thin trading. When liquidity contracts, price fluctuations tend to be exaggerated. After the US market reopens on the 26th, keep a close eye on Federal Reserve official Goolsby’s speech — he is generally dovish, and any comments could reprice expectations for rate cuts. Additionally, US November new home sales data and Trump’s latest comments on the Fed chair candidate could stir market sentiment. Don’t forget that the unexpectedly strong Q3 GDP is still fermenting as a negative factor, and rate cut expectations are pulling in opposite directions.

From a technical chart perspective, the 4-hour chart shows a rally followed by a decline, entering a short-term correction zone. The key level is 4440-4445 — holding above it leaves room for a bullish trend; a decisive break below could lead to further retracement.

Trading Reference Points
Bullish Strategy: Consider going long in the 4450-4460 range, with the first target at 4500-4530, and continue to watch for a breakout above with a target of 4560.
Mid-term Logic: Existing long positions below 4400 can be held, but remember to set stop-loss orders.

Risk Reminder: This is only a sharing of trading ideas. Holiday market volatility can be amplified, so be sure to strictly control your positions and risk. $BTC $ETH $XAU

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TokenVelocityTrauma

· 1h ago

Holiday market conditions are like this—dull to the point of absurdity, making it easier to be misled by exaggerated fluctuations... Forget it, let's wait until the 26th when Gullsby speaks before making any moves.

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DegenTherapist

· 2h ago

The quiet market during the holiday period tests people's patience the most. The 4440 level must be held firmly; breaking it would be troublesome.

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GasFeeCrier

· 2h ago

Holiday trading is indeed prone to crashes, and the 4440 level must be watched closely. --- Gulsby once again has to start over with rate cuts after opening his mouth, this routine is so annoying. --- This correction feels a bit fierce; if it breaks below 4440, it's really over. --- During quiet trading, volatility is most likely to be exaggerated; those who understand are reducing their positions. --- Remember to set stop-losses when holding long positions, or you'll be stuck during the holiday and it will be awkward. --- The target of 4500-4530 feels a bit greedy; entering long at 4460 might be more prudent. --- Trump's mouth will stir up trouble again; this is the real black swan risk. --- New home sales data is out, and it will definitely trigger another round of emotional trading. --- Technically, if 4440 can't hold, the bulls are gone—simple and brutal. --- Holiday trading isn't about making money; it's about finding suffering. Better to reduce your positions.

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UnruggableChad

· 2h ago

Holiday liquidity kill move, this is actually the time for experts to take action The line at 4440-4445 can't hold, it's heading for an explosion... Gulsby had a slip, and now it's time to recalculate, the Fed's move is really incredible Position control can't be sloppy, holiday market conditions are a trap If you go long at 4450, you need to keep a steady mindset and set a stop-loss Can gold break through 4560 this time? Feels uncertain

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Frontrunner

· 2h ago

Holiday trading is actually the best test of feel, the 4440 level really needs to be tightly defended. --- It's the same story again, liquidity contraction is easily exaggerated, feels like it's always said this way... --- Goolsby's expectation of rate cuts needs to be recalculated every time he opens his mouth, does this guy really have that much power to move the market? --- Hold onto the mid-term long positions, but tighten your stop-losses a bit, otherwise a quick correction during the holiday could cause a big drop. --- The recent consolidation in gold indeed looks like it’s gathering strength, wait for the US market reopening on the 26th to see the reaction. --- The target range of 4500-4530 sounds good, but I’m more concerned about whether 4440 can hold. --- Trump’s comments on the Federal Reserve are stirring market sentiment, this uncertainty is a bit annoying, too uncontrollable.

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AlphaBrain

· 3h ago

Holiday market conditions are the biggest test of mental resilience. When liquidity shrinks, it's easy to fall into traps. Discipline is essential.

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