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Recent data on US unemployment benefit claims has shown a clear change—dropping to a quite healthy level. This development is more significant for traders than many might think.
When the number of claims continues to decline, it indicates that the labor market is holding up. This directly impacts the Federal Reserve's decision-making space—reducing the urgency for rate cuts. For us involved in crypto trading, this change can shift market expectations. Sometimes it alleviates recession fears and boosts risk appetite for risky assets; other times, it exerts pressure on interest rates. The key is how long this trend can last.
Once unemployment claims continue to decline, consumer purchasing power remains relatively stable, which can trigger a chain reaction in risk assets, including digital assets. For those with long-term strategies or considering market cycle entry points, this number is really worth keeping an eye on. Changes often occur at these turning points of such indicators.